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There's Reason For Concern Over Weihai Huadong Automation Co., Ltd's (SZSE:002248) Massive 26% Price Jump

There's Reason For Concern Over Weihai Huadong Automation Co., Ltd's (SZSE:002248) Massive 26% Price Jump

有理由擔心威海華東數控股份有限公司(深交所股票代碼:002248)價格大幅上漲 26%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/19 18:22

Weihai Huadong Automation Co., Ltd (SZSE:002248) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 27% in the last year.

威海華東自動化有限公司(SZSE:002248)股東們會興奮地看到,股價在一個月裡表現出色,上漲了26%,從之前的疲軟中恢復過來。再往前看一點,看到該股在去年上漲了27%,這是令人鼓舞的。

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.2x, you may consider Weihai Huadong Automation as a stock to avoid entirely with its 11.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

在股價大幅上漲後,考慮到中國所在機械行業約有一半的公司市銷率(P/S)低於3.2倍,你可能會考慮將威海華東自動化作為一隻股票,以避免其11.7倍的P/S比率。然而,P/S可能是有原因的,需要進一步調查才能確定是否合理。

Check out our latest analysis for Weihai Huadong Automation

查看我們對威海華東自動化的最新分析

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002248 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 19th 2023
深圳證券交易所:002248 2023年9月19日行業市銷率

How Has Weihai Huadong Automation Performed Recently?

威海華東自動化最近表現如何?

For instance, Weihai Huadong Automation's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

例如,威海華東自動化最近的營收下滑就不得不引起一些思考。一種可能性是,本益比較高是因為投資者認為,在不久的將來,該公司仍將採取足夠的措施,跑贏大盤。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的生存能力感到相當緊張。

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our
我們沒有分析師的預測,但您可以通過查看我們的
free
免費
report on Weihai Huadong Automation's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
威海華東自動化的收益、收入和現金流報告。

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

收入預測是否與高本益比相匹配?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Weihai Huadong Automation would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

為了證明其P/S比率是合理的,威海華東自動化需要實現遠遠超出行業的出色增長。

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.7% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 46% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

回顧過去一年,該公司的營收令人沮喪地下降了7.7%。即便如此,儘管在過去的12個月裡,總收入比三年前增長了46%,這一點令人欽佩。因此,我們可以從確認該公司在這段時間內總體上在收入增長方面做得非常好開始,儘管在此過程中出現了一些小問題。

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 31% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

這與其他行業形成鮮明對比,預計明年該行業將增長31%,大大高於該公司最近的中期年化增長率。

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Weihai Huadong Automation's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

考慮到這一點,我們感到擔憂的是,威海華東自動化的P/S超過了行業同行。似乎大多數投資者忽視了最近相當有限的增長率,並希望該公司的業務前景有所好轉。只有最大膽的人才會認為這些價格是可持續的,因為最近收入趨勢的延續最終可能會對股價造成沉重壓力。

The Bottom Line On Weihai Huadong Automation's P/S

威海華東自動化P/S的底線

Shares in Weihai Huadong Automation have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

威海華東自動化的股價最近出現了強勁的上揚,這確實有助於提高其本益比。僅僅用市銷率來決定你是否應該出售你的股票是不明智的,但它可以成為公司未來前景的實用指南。

The fact that Weihai Huadong Automation currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

威海華東自動化目前的本益比高於行業,這是一個奇怪的事實,因為該公司最近三年的增長低於更廣泛的行業預測。目前,我們對高本益比S並不滿意,因為這種收入表現不太可能長期支持這種積極的情緒。如果近期的中期營收趨勢持續下去,將使股東的投資面臨重大風險,潛在投資者面臨支付過高溢價的危險。

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Weihai Huadong Automation you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

你應該時刻考慮風險。舉個例子,我們發現威海華東自動化的2個警告標誌你應該知道,其中的一個讓我們有點不舒服。

If you're unsure about the strength of Weihai Huadong Automation's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

如果你.不確定威海華東自動化的業務實力,為什麼不探索我們的互動列表,為其他一些你可能沒有達到預期的公司提供堅實的商業基本面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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