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Is Now The Time To Look At Buying China BlueChemical Ltd. (HKG:3983)?

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying China BlueChemical Ltd. (HKG:3983)?

現在是考慮收購中海石油化工有限公司(HKG: 3983)的時候了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/22 18:41

China BlueChemical Ltd. (HKG:3983), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the SEHK over the last few months. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let's examine China BlueChemical's valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there's still a bargain opportunity.

中國化學股份有限公司(HKG:3983)並不是最大的公司,但在過去的幾個月裡,它在聯交所的股價在十幾歲的水準上實現了可觀的增長。作為一隻幾乎沒有分析師覆蓋的小盤股,錯誤定價的可能性通常更大,因為推動股票接近公允價值的活動較少。這裡還有買入的機會嗎?讓我們更詳細地審視中國藍化的估值和展望,以確定是否仍有逢低買入的機會。

Check out our latest analysis for China BlueChemical

查看我們對中國藍化的最新分析

What's The Opportunity In China BlueChemical?

中國藍化有什麼機會?

According to my valuation model, China BlueChemical seems to be fairly priced at around 7.76% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy China BlueChemical today, you'd be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth HK$1.78, then there isn't really any room for the share price grow beyond what it's currently trading. In addition to this, China BlueChemical has a low beta, which suggests its share price is less volatile than the wider market.

根據我的估值模型,中國藍色化工的定價似乎比較合理,比我的內在價值高出約7.76%,這意味著如果你今天購買中國藍色化工,你將支付一個相對公平的價格。如果你認為這只股票真的值1.78港元,那麼它的股價就不會有任何超出目前交易水準的上漲空間。除此之外,中國藍化的貝塔係數較低,這表明其股價的波動性低於大盤。

What does the future of China BlueChemical look like?

中國藍化的未來是什麼樣子的?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:3983 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 22nd 2023
聯交所:3983盈利及收入增長2023年9月22日

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for China BlueChemical, at least in the near future.

尋求投資組合增長的投資者可能希望在購買一家公司的股票之前考慮其前景。以低廉的價格收購一家前景穩健的偉大公司永遠是一筆不錯的投資,所以讓我們也來看看該公司的未來預期。然而,由於預計未來幾年利潤將出現極負的兩位數變化,短期增長肯定不是做出收購決定的驅動因素。至少在不久的將來,中國藍化的前景似乎充滿了不確定性。

What This Means For You

這對你意味著什麼

Are you a shareholder? Currently, 3983 appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

你是股東嗎?目前,3983似乎在其公允價值附近交易,但考慮到未來負回報的不確定性,現在可能是降低投資組合風險的合適時機。對於你的總投資組合來說,你目前對這只股票的敞口是不是最好的?持有一隻前景負面的股票的機會成本是否過高?在你對這只股票做出決定之前,先看看它的基本面是否發生了變化。

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on 3983 for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there's less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven't considered today, which can help crystalize your views on 3983 should the price fluctuate below its true value.

你是潛在的投資者嗎?如果你關注3983已經有一段時間了,現在可能不是買入的最佳時機,因為它的交易價格在其公允價值附近。該股似乎以公允價值交易,這意味著錯誤定價帶來的好處較少。此外,負增長前景增加了持有該股的風險。然而,我們今天還沒有考慮其他重要因素,這些因素可以幫助你明確3983的看法,如果價格波動低於其真實價值的話。

If you'd like to know more about China BlueChemical as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with China BlueChemical (including 2 which are significant).

如果你想更多地瞭解中國藍化的業務,瞭解它所面臨的任何風險是很重要的。為此,您應該瞭解3個警示標誌我們已經發現了中國化學公司(包括2家有意義的公司)。

If you are no longer interested in China BlueChemical, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

如果你對中國藍化不再感興趣,你可以使用我們的免費平臺查看我們的50多隻其他具有高增長潛力的股票。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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