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Is Peijia Medical (HKG:9996) A Risky Investment?

Is Peijia Medical (HKG:9996) A Risky Investment?

培佳醫療(HKG: 9996)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/04 18:54

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Peijia Medical Limited (HKG:9996) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

一些人說,作為投資者,考慮風險的最佳方式是波動性,而不是債務,但巴菲特曾說過一句名言:波動性遠非風險的同義詞。因此,當你評估一家公司的風險有多大時,聰明的投資者似乎知道債務--通常涉及破產--是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣沛嘉醫療有限公司(HKG:9996)利用債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否讓該公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候債務是個問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是用新資本還是用自由現金流。資本主義的一部分是“創造性破壞”的過程,破產的企業被銀行家無情地清算。然而,一種更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東的股份,才能控制債務。當然,在企業中,債務可以是一個重要的工具,特別是資本密集型企業。當考慮一家企業使用了多少債務時,首先要做的是把現金和債務放在一起看。

Check out our latest analysis for Peijia Medical

查看我們對沛嘉醫療的最新分析

What Is Peijia Medical's Net Debt?

沛嘉醫療的淨債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Peijia Medical had CN¥184.1m of debt, an increase on CN¥65.0m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥1.07b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥884.9m.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數據,但它顯示了截至2023年6月,沛嘉醫療的債務為1.841億元人民幣,比一年前增加了6500萬元人民幣。然而,它確實有10.7億加元的現金抵消了這一點,導致淨現金為8.849億加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:9996 Debt to Equity History October 4th 2023
聯交所:9996債轉股歷史2023年10月4日

How Healthy Is Peijia Medical's Balance Sheet?

沛嘉醫療的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Peijia Medical had liabilities of CN¥158.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥225.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.07b as well as receivables valued at CN¥84.9m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥769.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據最新公佈的資產負債表,沛嘉醫療有1.586億加元的負債在12個月內到期,2.256億加元的負債在12個月後到期。為了抵消這些債務,該公司有10.7億加元的現金以及價值8490萬加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有7.697億元人民幣更多流動資產超過總負債。

This excess liquidity suggests that Peijia Medical is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Succinctly put, Peijia Medical boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Peijia Medical can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

這種過剩的流動性表明,沛嘉醫療正在謹慎處理債務問題。由於它擁有充足的資產,它不太可能與其貸款人發生麻煩。簡單地說,沛嘉醫療擁有淨現金,所以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!在分析債務水準時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定沛嘉醫療能否隨著時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

In the last year Peijia Medical wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 75%, to CN¥357m. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

去年,沛嘉醫療沒有實現息稅前利潤,但收入增長了75%,達到人民幣3.57億元。如果運氣好的話,該公司將能夠以增長的方式實現盈利。

So How Risky Is Peijia Medical?

那麼,沛嘉醫療的風險有多大呢?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And in the last year Peijia Medical had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥942m of cash and made a loss of CN¥528m. While this does make the company a bit risky, it's important to remember it has net cash of CN¥884.9m. That means it could keep spending at its current rate for more than two years. With very solid revenue growth in the last year, Peijia Medical may be on a path to profitability. Pre-profit companies are often risky, but they can also offer great rewards. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Peijia Medical you should be aware of.

就其本質而言,虧損的公司比那些長期盈利的公司風險更大。說實話,去年沛嘉醫療還出現了息稅前利潤(EBIT)虧損。事實上,在此期間,它燒掉了9.42億加元的現金,虧損了5.28億加元。雖然這確實給該公司帶來了一些風險,但重要的是要記住,它擁有8.849億元的淨現金。這意味著它可能會在兩年多的時間裡保持目前的支出速度。由於去年營收增長非常強勁,新浪沛嘉醫療可能正走上盈利之路。盈利前的公司往往存在風險,但它們也可以提供豐厚的回報。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。一個恰當的例子:我們發現了沛嘉醫療的1個警告標誌你應該意識到。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來看看我們的淨現金成長型股票獨家名單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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