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Is Weakness In China Feihe Limited (HKG:6186) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

Is Weakness In China Feihe Limited (HKG:6186) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

鑑於其強勁的財務前景,中國飛鶴有限公司(HKG: 6186)股票的疲軟是否表明市場可能出錯?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/09 18:43

It is hard to get excited after looking at China Feihe's (HKG:6186) recent performance, when its stock has declined 5.5% over the past month.   However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising.     Particularly, we will be paying attention to China Feihe's  ROE today.  

看到中國飛鶴(HKG:6186)最近的表現,很難感到興奮,其股價在過去一個月裡下跌了5.5%。然而,股價通常是由公司長期的財務表現推動的,在這種情況下,這看起來相當有希望。特別是,今天我們將關注中國飛鶴的淨資產收益率。他說:

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested.  Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回報率或淨資產收益率是股東要考慮的一個重要因素,因為它告訴他們他們的資本再投資的效率。簡而言之,它是用來評估一家公司相對於其股權資本的盈利能力。

See our latest analysis for China Feihe

參見我們對中國飛鶴的最新分析

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

這個淨資產收益率公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Feihe is:

因此,根據上述公式,中國飛鶴的淨資產收益率為:

17% = CN¥4.3b ÷ CN¥26b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

17%=CN元43億×CN元26億(以截至2023年6月的12個月為基礎)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year.  So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.17.

“回報”指的是企業在過去一年中獲得的收入。儘管如此,這意味著其股東每投資1港元,公司就會產生0.17港元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

淨資產收益率與盈利增長之間有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings.  Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits.  Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經證實,淨資產收益率是一家公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司選擇將多少利潤用於再投資或“保留”,我們就能夠評估一家公司未來產生利潤的能力。假設其他條件相同,與沒有相同特徵的公司相比,同時擁有更高股本回報率和更高利潤留存的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

China Feihe's Earnings Growth And 17% ROE

中國飛鶴的盈利增長和17%的淨資產收益率

At first glance, China Feihe seems to have a decent ROE.   Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 9.0%.   This probably laid the ground for China Feihe's moderate 11% net income growth seen over the past five years.    

乍一看,中國飛鶴似乎有不錯的淨資產收益率。此外,該公司的淨資產收益率(ROE)與行業平均水準9.0%相比相當有利。這可能為中國飛鶴在過去五年中淨收入溫和增長11%奠定了基礎。巴塞隆納

Given that the industry shrunk its earnings at a rate of 0.8% over the last few years, the net income growth of the company is quite impressive.  

考慮到該行業在過去幾年中以0.8%的速度收縮收益,該公司的淨收入增長相當令人印象深刻。他說:

SEHK:6186 Past Earnings Growth October 9th 2023

聯交所:6186過去盈利增長2023年10月9日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock.   It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline).  Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous.    Is 6186 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value  has everything you need to know.  

盈利增長是評估一隻股票時需要考慮的一個重要指標。對投資者來說,重要的是知道市場是否已經消化了公司預期的收益增長(或下降)。這樣做將有助於他們確定該股的未來看起來是有希望的還是不祥的。那麼,6186的價值是公平的嗎?這張關於公司內在價值的資訊圖包含了你需要知道的一切。他說:

Is China Feihe Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

中國飛鶴是否有效地將其利潤進行了再投資?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 45% (implying that the company retains 55% of its profits), it seems that China Feihe is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.  

中國飛鶴的三年中值派息率為45%(這意味著該公司將保留55%的利潤),看起來他的再投資效率很高,因為它看到了可觀的收益增長,並支付了豐厚的股息。他說:

Additionally, China Feihe has paid dividends over a period of three years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders.      Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 55% over the next three years.   Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the higher expected payout ratio.    

此外,中國飛鶴在三年內分紅,這意味著公司對與股東分享利潤相當認真。在研究了最新的分析師共識數據後,我們發現,該公司未來三年的派息率預計將上升至55%。但無論如何,儘管預期派息率較高,但預計該公司的淨資產收益率不會有太大變化。巴塞隆納

Summary  

摘要:

In total, we are pretty happy with China Feihe's performance.      Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings.       That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth.     To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

總體而言,我們對中國飛鶴的表現相當滿意。具體地說,我們喜歡該公司將其利潤的一大部分以高回報率進行再投資。當然,這導致該公司的收益出現了大幅增長。有鑒於此,一項對最新分析師預測的研究顯示,預計該公司未來的收益增長將放緩。*要了解更多有關該公司未來收益增長預測的資訊,請查看以下內容免費報告分析師對該公司的預測,以瞭解更多資訊.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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