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Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Hexcel (NYSE:HXL) the Stock Climbs 4.2%, Bringing Three-year Gains to 93%

Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Hexcel (NYSE:HXL) the Stock Climbs 4.2%, Bringing Three-year Gains to 93%

儘管Hexcel(紐約證券交易所代碼:HXL)的收益呈下降趨勢,但該股仍上漲了4.2%,使三年期漲幅達到93%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/11 11:25

Hexcel Corporation (NYSE:HXL) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 12% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been pleasing. In fact, the company's share price bested the return of its market index in that time, posting a gain of 91%.

Hexel公司(紐約證券交易所股票代碼:HXL)上季度股價下跌12%後,股東們可能會感到擔憂。但這並不能改變過去三年回報一直令人滿意的事實。事實上,在這段時間裡,該公司的股價超過了其市場指數的回報,漲幅為91%。

After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.

在過去一週的強勁上漲之後,長期回報是否受到基本面改善的推動值得關注。

Check out our latest analysis for Hexcel

查看我們對Hexel的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

本傑明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原話是:短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。評估圍繞一家公司的情緒變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the three years of share price growth, Hexcel actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 8.7% per year.

在股價增長的三年中,Hexel的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年下降8.7%。

Thus, it seems unlikely that the market is focussed on EPS growth at the moment. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

因此,目前市場似乎不太可能把重點放在每股收益增長上。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化沒有相關性,因此值得看看其他指標。

The modest 0.7% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. The revenue drop of 1.5% is as underwhelming as some politicians. What's clear is that historic earnings and revenue aren't matching up with the share price action, very well. So you might have to dig deeper to get a grasp of the situation

0.7%的適度股息收益率不太可能支撐股價。1.5%的收入降幅和一些政客一樣平淡無奇。顯而易見的是,歷史收益和營收與股價走勢並沒有很好的匹配。因此,你可能需要更深入地調查,才能掌握情況

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下圖中看到收益和收入隨時間的變化(單擊圖表查看確切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:HXL Earnings and Revenue Growth October 11th 2023
紐約證券交易所:HXL收益和收入增長2023年10月11日

Hexcel is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. Given we have quite a good number of analyst forecasts, it might be well worth checking out this free chart depicting consensus estimates.

Hexel是一隻知名的股票,有大量的分析師報道,這表明它對未來的增長有一定的可見性。鑑於我們有相當多的分析師預測,可能很值得查看以下內容免費描繪共識估計的圖表。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Hexcel, it has a TSR of 93% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。公平地說,TSR為支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖景。以Hexel為例,它在過去3年的TSR為93%。這超過了我們之前提到的它的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Hexcel has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 28% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 1.9% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Hexcel .

很高興看到Hexel在過去12個月裡為股東帶來了28%的總回報。這確實包括了股息。由於一年期的TSR好於五年期的TSR(後者的年利率為1.9%),看起來該股的表現在最近有所改善。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示著一些真正的商業勢頭,意味著現在可能是深入研究的好時機。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。為此,您應該意識到1個個警告標誌我們發現了赫克塞爾。

We will like Hexcel better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些大的內部收購,我們會更喜歡Hexel。在我們等待的時候,看看這個免費最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司名單.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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