Investing in Shandong Gold Mining (SHSE:600547) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 94% Gain
Investing in Shandong Gold Mining (SHSE:600547) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 94% Gain
When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. To wit, the Shandong Gold Mining share price has climbed 92% in five years, easily topping the market return of 43% (ignoring dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 47% , including dividends .
當我們投資時,我們通常會尋找表現優於市場平均水準的股票。收購評級偏低的企業是獲得超額回報的一條途徑。換句話說,山東黃金的股價在五年內上漲了92%,輕鬆超過了43%的市場回報率(不考慮股息)。另一方面,最近的漲幅沒有那麼令人印象深刻,包括股息在內,股東只獲得了47%的收益。
So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
因此,讓我們來調查一下,看看該公司的長期表現是否與基礎業務的發展一致。
See our latest analysis for Shandong Gold Mining
參見我們對山東黃金的最新分析
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
本傑明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原話是:短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。考察市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是觀察一家公司的股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
Shandong Gold Mining's earnings per share are down 8.1% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.
山東黃金的每股收益每年下降8.1%,儘管過去五年股價表現強勁。
Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.
從本質上講,投資者似乎不太可能把重點放在每股收益上。由於每股收益似乎與股價不匹配,我們將轉而看看其他指標。
We doubt the modest 0.3% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. The revenue reduction of 6.8% per year is not a positive. So it seems one might have to take closer look at earnings and revenue trends to see how they might influence the share price.
我們懷疑,0.3%的適度股息收益率是否吸引了許多買家買入該股。每年6.8%的收入減少並不是積極的。因此,人們似乎必須更仔細地觀察收益和收入趨勢,看看它們可能會如何影響股價。
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
你可以在下面看到收入和收入是如何隨著時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片可以發現確切的價值)。
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Shandong Gold Mining
我們很高興地報告,這位首席執行官的薪酬比類似資本公司的大多數首席執行官都要低。關注首席執行官的薪酬總是值得的,但更重要的問題是,該公司是否會在未來幾年實現盈利增長。這免費顯示分析師預測的報告應該有助於您形成對山東黃金的看法
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Shandong Gold Mining's TSR for the last 5 years was 94%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報。TSR包括任何剝離或貼現融資的價值,以及任何股息,基於股息再投資的假設。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。碰巧的是,山東黃金最近5年的TSR是94%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's nice to see that Shandong Gold Mining shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 47% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 14% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shandong Gold Mining better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Shandong Gold Mining has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.
很高興看到山東黃金的股東在過去一年裡獲得了47%的總股東回報。這確實包括了股息。由於一年期的TSR好於五年期的TSR(後者的年收益率為14%),看起來該股的表現最近有所改善。鑑於股價勢頭依然強勁,仔細觀察這只股票可能是值得的,以免錯過預期和機會。跟蹤股價的長期表現總是很有趣的。但要更好地理解山東黃金,我們還需要考慮許多其他因素。以冒險為例-山東黃金有2個個警告標誌(和1個潛在的嚴重問題)我們認為您應該知道。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然了,如果你把目光投向別處,你可能會發現這是一筆很棒的投資。所以讓我們來看看這個免費我們預計收益將會增長的公司名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.