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Does Yonghui Superstores (SHSE:601933) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Does Yonghui Superstores (SHSE:601933) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

永輝超市(上海證券交易所代碼:601933)的資產負債表是否良好?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/13 22:54

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Yonghui Superstores Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601933) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

巴菲特(Warren Buffett)曾說過一句名言:波動性遠非風險的代名詞。當我們考慮一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡看它對債務的使用,因為債務過重可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣永輝超市有限公司(上海證券交易所:601933)利用債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否讓該公司面臨風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

為什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是用新資本還是用自由現金流。在最糟糕的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人的債務,它可能會破產。然而,一種更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東的股份,才能控制債務。當然,許多公司利用債務為增長提供資金,沒有任何負面後果。當我們檢查債務水準時,我們首先同時考慮現金和債務水準。

View our latest analysis for Yonghui Superstores

查看我們對永輝超市的最新分析

What Is Yonghui Superstores's Net Debt?

永輝超市的淨債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Yonghui Superstores had CN¥4.78b of debt in June 2023, down from CN¥8.86b, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥5.26b in cash, leading to a CN¥478.9m net cash position.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數據,但它顯示,2023年6月,永輝超市的債務為人民幣47.8億元,低於一年前的人民幣88.6億元。但另一方面,它也擁有52.6億加元的現金,導致淨現金頭寸為4.789億加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601933 Debt to Equity History October 14th 2023
上證綜指:601933債轉股歷史2023年10月14日

How Healthy Is Yonghui Superstores' Balance Sheet?

永輝超市的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Yonghui Superstores had liabilities of CN¥23.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥22.7b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥5.26b and CN¥3.13b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥37.3b.

從最近的資產負債表可以看出,永輝超市有230億元的負債在一年內到期,還有227億元的負債在一年內到期。另一方面,一年內有52.6億元現金和31.3億元應收賬款到期。因此,它的負債超過了現金和(近期)應收賬款的總和373億元。

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥27.8b, we think shareholders really should watch Yonghui Superstores's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. Yonghui Superstores boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load, even if it does have very significant liabilities, in total. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Yonghui Superstores's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

鑑於這一赤字實際上高於該公司278億元的市值,我們認為股東們真的應該關注永輝超市的債務水準,就像父母第一次看孩子騎車一樣。在該公司不得不迅速清理其資產負債表的情況下,股東似乎可能會遭受廣泛的稀釋。永輝超市擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔,即使它總共有非常重大的負債。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但最重要的是,未來的收益將決定永輝超市未來能否保持健康的資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Over 12 months, Yonghui Superstores made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥83b, which is a fall of 10%. We would much prefer see growth.

在12個月的時間裡,永輝超市在息稅前虧損,收入下降至830億元人民幣,降幅為10%。我們更希望看到增長。

So How Risky Is Yonghui Superstores?

那麼,永輝超市的風險有多大呢?

Although Yonghui Superstores had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of CN¥3.1b. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. We're not impressed by its revenue growth, so until we see some positive sustainable EBIT, we consider the stock to be high risk. For riskier companies like Yonghui Superstores I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.

儘管永輝超市在過去12個月中出現息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損,但它產生了31億元人民幣的正自由現金流。因此,從面值來看,考慮到淨現金狀況,我們認為該股在短期內不會有太大風險。我們對其收入增長並不印象深刻,因此在我們看到一些積極的可持續息稅前利潤之前,我們認為該股風險很高。對於像永輝超市這樣風險較高的公司,我總是喜歡關注長期的利潤和收入趨勢。幸運的是,您可以點擊查看我們關於其利潤、收入和運營現金流的互動圖表。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資於可以在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的企業,那麼看看這個免費資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業名單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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