Ping An Bank (SZSE:000001) Shareholders Have Endured a 32% Loss From Investing in the Stock Three Years Ago
Ping An Bank (SZSE:000001) Shareholders Have Endured a 32% Loss From Investing in the Stock Three Years Ago
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Ping An Bank Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000001) shareholders, since the share price is down 36% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 9.8%.
爲了證明選擇個股的努力是合理的,值得努力擊敗市場指數基金的回報。但是選股的風險是你很可能會買入表現不佳的公司。不幸的是,平安銀行股份有限公司(SZSE:000001)的長期股東就是這種情況,因爲股價在過去三年中下跌了36%,遠低於9.8%左右的市場跌幅。
Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
現在讓我們來看看公司的基本面,看看長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。
Check out our latest analysis for Ping An Bank
查看我們對平安銀行的最新分析
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。
Although the share price is down over three years, Ping An Bank actually managed to grow EPS by 21% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.
儘管股價在三年內下跌,但在此期間,平安銀行實際上設法每年將每股收益增長21%。這真是個難題,表明股價可能會暫時上漲。否則,該公司過去曾被過度炒作,因此其增長令人失望。
It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.
值得一看其他指標,因爲每股收益的增長似乎與股價的下跌不符。
We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 12% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Ping An Bank more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.
我們注意到,在三年內,收入實際上以12%的年增長率增長,因此這似乎不是出售股票的理由。這種分析只是敷衍了事,但可能值得對平安銀行進行更仔細的研究,因爲有時股市下跌不公平。這可能帶來機會。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下圖中看到收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。
Ping An Bank is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
平安銀行在投資者中廣爲人知,許多聰明的分析師都試圖預測未來的利潤水平。因此,我們建議您查看這份顯示共識預測的免費報告
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Ping An Bank, it has a TSR of -32% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報(TSR)。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息已被再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率可以更全面地描述股票產生的回報。就平安銀行而言,其過去3年的股東總回報率爲-32%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While it's never nice to take a loss, Ping An Bank shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 2.2% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 3.2%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 2%, each year, over five years. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Ping An Bank , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
儘管虧損從來都不是一件好事,但平安銀行的股東可以放心,包括分紅在內,他們過去十二個月的2.2%的虧損沒有3.2%左右的市場虧損那麼嚴重。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年獲得2%的收入。可能是該業務正面臨一些短期問題,但股東應密切關注基本面。儘管值得考慮市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,以永遠存在的投資風險幽靈爲例。我們已經在平安銀行發現了一個警告信號,理解這些信號應該是你投資過程的一部分。
Of course Ping An Bank may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
當然,平安銀行可能不是最值得買入的股票。因此,您可能希望看到這批免費的成長型股票。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。