share_log

Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical (SHSE:600566) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 15% If They Invested Five Years Ago

Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical (SHSE:600566) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 15% If They Invested Five Years Ago

湖北健康藥業(上海證券交易所代碼:600566)投資者如果在五年前投資,將虧損15%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/15 21:31

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600566) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 29% over a half decade.

理想情況下,你的整體投資組合應該超過市場平均水準。但幾乎可以肯定的是,每個投資者都會同時擁有表現優異和表現不佳的股票。所以我們不會責怪長期湖北捷普康藥業有限公司(上海證券交易所:600566)股東對他們持有股票的決定表示懷疑,該股在五年內下跌了29%。

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

現在讓我們來看看該公司的基本面,看看長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。

Check out our latest analysis for Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical

查看我們對湖北健康藥業的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

本傑明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原話是:短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。評估圍繞一家公司的情緒變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

While the share price declined over five years, Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 8.1% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

雖然股價在五年內下跌,但湖北健康藥業實際上成功地增加每股收益平均每年增長8.1%。考慮到股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑,每股收益不是這段時間內業務表現的良好指南(可能是因為一次性的虧損或收益)。或者,增長預期在過去可能是不合理的。

Because of the sharp contrast between the EPS growth rate and the share price growth, we're inclined to look to other metrics to understand the changing market sentiment around the stock.

由於每股收益增長率和股價增長率之間的鮮明對比,我們傾向於通過其他指標來了解圍繞股票不斷變化的市場情緒。

In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 6.1% a year in the five year period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

與股價形成對比的是,在這五年期間,營收實際上以每年6.1%的速度增長。對營收和收益進行更詳細的審查,可能會解釋股價低迷的原因,也可能解釋不了;可能會有機會。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的收入和收益(隨著時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看具體數位)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600566 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 16th 2023
上海證交所:600566收益和收入增長2023年10月16日

We know that Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我們知道湖北巨無霸藥業最近提高了底線,但未來會是什麼樣子?因此,我們建議您查看以下內容免費顯示共識預測的報告

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical's TSR for the last 5 years was -15%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。雖然股價回報只反映股價的變動,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息再投資),以及任何折價集資或分拆所帶來的利益。可以說,TSR更全面地描繪了一隻股票產生的回報。恰好,湖北健康藥業最近5年的TSR為-15%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 1.8% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 3% per year over five years. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical .

很高興看到湖北健康藥業在過去12個月裡以1.8%的總股東回報回報了股東。這還包括股息。毫無疑問,最近的回報率遠好於TSR在過去五年中每年3%的損失。這讓我們有點警惕,但這家企業可能已經扭轉了命運。我發現,把股價作為衡量企業業績的長期指標是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他資訊。為此,您應該意識到2個個警告標誌我們發現了湖北吉普坎藥業。

Of course Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然了湖北健康藥業可能不是最值得買入的股票那就是。所以你可能想看看這個免費成長型股票的集合。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論