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Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Shanghai Tianchen Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600620) Current Share Price Momentum?

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Shanghai Tianchen Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600620) Current Share Price Momentum?

基本面好壞參半能否對上海天辰股份產生負面影響, Ltd(上海證券交易所代碼:600620)當前的股價走勢?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/19 02:20

Shanghai TianchenLtd (SHSE:600620) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 8.9% over the last week. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study Shanghai TianchenLtd's ROE in this article.

上海天辰股份有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600620)在過去一週的股票市場上大幅上漲了8.9%。但該公司的關鍵財務指標似乎在所有方面都不同,這讓我們質疑該公司目前的股價勢頭能否保持下去。具體地說,我們決定在本文中研究上海天辰股份有限公司的淨資產收益率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率(ROE)是用來評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,淨資產收益率顯示了每一美元相對於其股東投資產生的利潤。

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai TianchenLtd

查看我們對上海天辰股份有限公司的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率是如何計算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

這個股本回報率公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai TianchenLtd is:

因此,根據上述公式,上海天辰股份有限公司的淨資產收益率為:

4.7% = CN¥96m ÷ CN¥2.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

4.7%=9,600萬元×21億元(以截至2023年6月的12個月為基礎)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回報”指的是一家公司過去一年的收益。另一種說法是,公司每持有價值1元的股權,就能賺取0.05元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

淨資產收益率與盈利增長之間有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經證實,淨資產收益率是一家公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司選擇再投資或“保留”多少利潤,我們就能夠評估一家公司未來產生利潤的能力。假設其他條件相同,與沒有相同特徵的公司相比,擁有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常會有更高的增長率。

Shanghai TianchenLtd's Earnings Growth And 4.7% ROE

上海天辰股份有限公司盈利增長和4.7%的淨資產收益率

As you can see, Shanghai TianchenLtd's ROE looks pretty weak. A comparison with the industry shows that the company's ROE is pretty similar to the average industry ROE of 4.0%. Given the low ROE Shanghai TianchenLtd's five year net income decline of 7.8% is not surprising.

如你所見,上海天辰股份有限公司的淨資產收益率(ROE)看起來相當疲軟。與行業的對比顯示,該公司的淨資產收益率與行業平均4.0%的淨資產收益率相當接近。考慮到淨資產收益率較低,上海天辰股份有限公司五年來淨利潤下降7.8%並不令人意外。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Shanghai TianchenLtd's earnings seems to be shrinking at a similar rate as the industry which shrunk at a rate of a rate of 7.3% in the same period.

接下來,對比行業淨收入增長,我們發現上海天辰股份有限公司的收益似乎以與同期行業7.3%的速度縮水的速度相似的速度縮水。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600620 Past Earnings Growth October 19th 2023
上海證券交易所:過去600620的收益增長2023年10月19日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai TianchenLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。對於投資者來說,重要的是知道市場是否已經消化了公司預期的收益增長(或下降)。這樣做將有助於他們確定該股的未來看起來是光明的還是不祥的。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是本益比,它根據一隻股票的盈利前景決定市場願意為其支付的價格。因此,你可能想看看上海天辰股份有限公司相對於其行業是高本益比還是低本益比。

Is Shanghai TianchenLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

上海天辰股份有限公司是否有效地將利潤進行了再投資?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 26% (where it is retaining 74% of its profits), Shanghai TianchenLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

儘管上海天辰股份有限公司正常的三年派息率中值為26%(該公司保留了74%的利潤),但正如我們上面看到的那樣,它的收益出現了下降。因此,在這方面可能會有其他一些解釋。例如,該公司的業務可能正在惡化。

Moreover, Shanghai TianchenLtd has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,上海天辰股份有限公司至少在十年或更長時間內一直在分紅,這表明管理層肯定已經意識到,股東更喜歡分紅,而不是收益增長。

Summary

摘要

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shanghai TianchenLtd's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 2 risks we have identified for Shanghai TianchenLtd.

總體而言,我們對上海天辰股份有限公司的表現有點矛盾。儘管它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但鑑於淨資產收益率較低,投資者可能終究不會從所有這些再投資中受益。低收益增長率表明我們的理論是正確的。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是查看業務的風險概況。我們的風險儀錶板將包含我們為上海天辰股份有限公司確定的兩個風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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