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Is Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering (SZSE:000078) A Risky Investment?

Is Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering (SZSE:000078) A Risky Investment?

深圳海王生物工程(深交所股票代碼:000078)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/20 20:02

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000078) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

David·伊本說得好,波動不是我們關心的風險,我們關心的是避免資本的永久性損失。當我們考慮一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡看它對債務的使用,因為債務過重可能導致破產。重要的是深圳市海王星生物工程有限公司。(SZSE:000078)確實有債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否讓該公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務在什麼時候是危險的?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的一種工具,但如果一家企業無法償還貸款人的債務,那麼它就只能聽從貸款人的擺佈。資本主義的一部分是“創造性破壞”的過程,破產的企業被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這並不常見,但我們確實經常看到負債累累的公司永久性地稀釋股東的權益,因為貸款人迫使他們以令人沮喪的價格籌集資金。然而,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本投資於高回報率增長的企業來說,債務可以成為一個非常好的工具。當我們考慮一家公司的債務用途時,我們首先會把現金和債務放在一起看。

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering

查看我們對深圳海王星生物工程的最新分析

What Is Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering's Debt?

深圳海王星生物工程的債務是什麼?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering had CN¥12.2b of debt, up from CN¥11.4b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥3.78b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥8.42b.

如下所示,截至2023年6月底,深圳海王星生物工程的債務為122億元人民幣,高於一年前的114億元人民幣。單擊圖像瞭解更多詳細資訊。另一方面,它擁有37.8億元現金,導致淨債務約為84.2億元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000078 Debt to Equity History October 21st 2023
深交所:000078債轉股歷史2023年10月21日

How Strong Is Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering's Balance Sheet?

深圳海王星生物工程的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering had liabilities of CN¥29.8b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥398.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.78b in cash and CN¥23.4b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥3.10b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

從最近的資產負債表中我們可以看到,深圳海王星生物工程有298億元人民幣的負債在一年內到期,還有3.987億元人民幣的負債在一年內到期。作為抵消,它有37.8億加元的現金和234億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出人民幣31億元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering is worth CN¥8.03b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

這一赤字並不是那麼糟糕,因為深圳海王星生物工程價值人民幣80.3億元,因此如果需要的話,可能會籌集到足夠的資本來支撐其資產負債表。但我們肯定希望密切關注其債務帶來太大風險的跡象。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我們通過查看公司的淨債務除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA),並計算其息稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋利息支出(利息覆蓋)的容易程度,來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力的關係。因此,我們考慮債務相對於收益,包括折舊和攤銷費用。

Weak interest cover of 0.89 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.7 hit our confidence in Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering's EBIT was down 36% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

0.89倍的疲弱利息覆蓋率以及8.7的令人不安的高淨債務與EBITDA比率打擊了我們對深圳海王星生物工程的信心,就像對腸子的一擊。這裡的債務負擔是巨大的。更糟糕的是,深圳海王星生物工程的息稅前利潤比去年下降了36%。如果盈利繼續沿著這一軌跡發展,還清債務將比說服我們在雨中跑馬拉松更難。在分析債務水準時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但深圳海王星生物工程的盈利將影響未來資產負債表的表現。因此,當考慮債務時,絕對值得關注收益趨勢。點擊此處查看互動快照。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering's free cash flow amounted to 42% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

但我們的最後考慮也很重要,因為一家公司不能用賬面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,我們總是檢查EBIT中有多少轉化為自由現金流。在過去的三年中,深圳海王星生物工程的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的42%,低於我們的預期。當涉及到償還債務時,這並不是很好。

Our View

我們的觀點

On the face of it, Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is not so bad. It's also worth noting that Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering is in the Healthcare industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering .

從表面上看,深圳海王星生物工程的利息封面讓我們對這只股票持懷疑態度,其EBIT增長率並不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚的一家空蕩蕩的餐廳更誘人。但至少它將息稅前利潤轉換為自由現金流並不是那麼糟糕。同樣值得注意的是,深圳海王星生物工程是在醫療行業,該行業通常被認為是相當防禦性的。從更大的角度來看,我們似乎很清楚,深圳海王星生物工程公司的債務使用正在為公司帶來風險。如果一切順利,這應該會提高回報,但另一方面,債務增加了永久資本損失的風險。在分析債務水準時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。為此,您應該意識到2個個警告標誌我們發現了深圳海王星生物工程公司。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果你對一家增長迅速、資產負債表堅如磐石的公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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