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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Xinyi Glass Holdings Limited (HKG:868)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Xinyi Glass Holdings Limited (HKG:868)?

股票下跌和基本面穩健:信義玻璃控股有限公司(HKG: 868)的市場錯了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/22 20:03

It is hard to get excited after looking at Xinyi Glass Holdings' (HKG:868) recent performance, when its stock has declined 18% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Specifically, we decided to study Xinyi Glass Holdings' ROE in this article.

看到信義玻璃(一千)控股(HKG:868)最近的表現,很難感到興奮,其股價在過去三個月裡下跌了18%。然而,股價通常是由一家公司的長期財務表現推動的,在這種情況下,這看起來相當有希望。具體地說,我們決定在本文中研究信義玻璃(一千)控股的淨資產收益率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回報率(ROE)是用來評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。換句話說,這是一個衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利比率。

View our latest analysis for Xinyi Glass Holdings

查看我們對信義玻璃(一千)控股的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

可使用以下公式計算淨資產收益率:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Xinyi Glass Holdings is:

因此,根據上述公式,信義玻璃(一千)控股的淨資產收益率為:

13% = HK$4.0b ÷ HK$32b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

13%=40億港元×320億港元(根據截至2023年6月的過去12個月計算)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every HK$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated HK$0.13 in profit.

“回報”指的是一家公司過去一年的收益。這意味著,每1港元的股東權益,該公司就會產生0.13港元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

為什麼淨資產收益率對收益增長很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經證實,淨資產收益率是一家公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司將這些利潤再投資或“保留”多少,以及這樣做的效率如何,我們就能夠評估一家公司的收益增長潛力。假設其他條件不變,淨資產收益率和利潤保留率越高,與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,公司的增長率就越高。

Xinyi Glass Holdings' Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

信義玻璃(一千)控股的盈利增長和13%的淨資產收益率

To start with, Xinyi Glass Holdings' ROE looks acceptable. Even when compared to the industry average of 11% the company's ROE looks quite decent. This certainly adds some context to Xinyi Glass Holdings' moderate 13% net income growth seen over the past five years.

首先,信義玻璃(一千)控股的淨資產收益率看起來可以接受。即使與11%的行業平均水準相比,該公司的淨資產收益率看起來也相當不錯。這無疑為信義玻璃(一千)控股在過去五年中13%的淨利潤溫和增長增添了一些背景。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Xinyi Glass Holdings' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 9.1% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下來,對比行業淨收入增速,我們發現信義玻璃(一千)控股的增速與同期行業平均增速9.1%相比還是相當高的,可喜可賀。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:868 Past Earnings Growth October 23rd 2023
聯交所:868過去盈利增長2023年10月23日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is 868 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 868 is currently mispriced by the market.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。投資者下一步需要確定的是,預期的收益增長是否已經計入了股價。這有助於他們確定這只股票是為光明還是黯淡的未來做準備。今天868值多少錢?我們免費研究報告中的內在價值資訊圖有助於直觀地瞭解868目前是否被市場錯誤定價。

Is Xinyi Glass Holdings Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

信義玻璃(一千)控股是否在有效利用其利潤?

Xinyi Glass Holdings has a three-year median payout ratio of 50%, which implies that it retains the remaining 50% of its profits. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the decent growth seen by the company, it looks like management is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

信義玻璃(一千)控股的三年派息率中值為50%,這意味著其保留了剩餘50%的利潤。這表明,它的股息得到了很好的覆蓋,考慮到該公司看到的可觀增長,管理層似乎正在有效地對其收益進行再投資。

Additionally, Xinyi Glass Holdings has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 43% of its profits over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Xinyi Glass Holdings' future ROE will rise to 18% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,信義玻璃(一千)控股至少在十年內分紅,這意味著該公司對與股東分享利潤相當認真。在研究了最新的分析師共識數據後,我們發現,預計該公司將在未來三年繼續支付約43%的利潤。儘管如此,預測顯示信義玻璃(一千)控股未來的淨資產收益率將升至18%,儘管該公司的派息率預計不會有太大變化。

Conclusion

結論

In total, we are pretty happy with Xinyi Glass Holdings' performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

總體而言,我們對信義玻璃(一千)控股的表現相當滿意。特別是,很高興看到該公司在業務上投入了大量資金,並獲得了高回報率,這導致了其收益的可觀增長。話雖如此,但從目前分析師的預估來看,我們發現該公司的盈利勢頭有望增強。要了解更多有關該公司未來收益增長預測的資訊,請查看以下內容免費報告分析師對該公司的預測,以瞭解更多資訊.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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