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Investors in Nanjing Iron & Steel (SHSE:600282) Have Seen Favorable Returns of 50% Over the Past Three Years

Investors in Nanjing Iron & Steel (SHSE:600282) Have Seen Favorable Returns of 50% Over the Past Three Years

在過去三年中,南京鋼鐵(上海證券交易所代碼:600282)的投資者獲得了50%的有利回報
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/23 02:56

One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, the Nanjing Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600282) share price is up 21% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 16% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 22% , including dividends .

從股市獲益的一個簡單方法是購買指數基金。但如果你選擇實力雄厚的個股,你就可以獲得優異的回報。例如,南京鋼鐵股份有限公司(上交所:600282)股價在過去三年中上漲了21%,顯然超過了市場約16%的跌幅(不包括股息)。另一方面,最近的回報並不是很好,包括股息在內,股東的回報率僅上漲了22%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

考慮到這一點,值得關注的是,該公司的潛在基本面是長期業績的驅動力,還是存在一些差異。

Check out our latest analysis for Nanjing Iron & Steel

查看我們對南鋼的最新分析

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映潛在的商業表現。一種不完美但簡單的方法來考慮市場對一家公司的看法是如何改變的,那就是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

Over the last three years, Nanjing Iron & Steel failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 15% (annualized).

在過去的三年裡,南京鋼鐵未能實現每股收益的增長,按年率計算下降了15%。

So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Therefore, we think it's worth considering other metrics as well.

因此,我們懷疑市場是否在指望每股收益作為其對公司價值的主要判斷。因此,我們認為其他指標也值得考慮。

We doubt the dividend payments explain the share price rise, since we don't see any improvement in that regard. It's much more likely that the fact that Nanjing Iron & Steel has been growing revenue at 12% a year is seen as a genuine positive. It could be that investors are content with the revenue growth on the basis that the company isn't really focussed on profits just yet. And that might explain the higher price.

我們懷疑股息支付對股價上漲的解釋,因為我們在這方面沒有看到任何改善。更有可能的是,南京鋼鐵的收入一直以每年12%的速度增長,這被視為一個真正的積極因素。這可能是因為投資者對營收增長感到滿意,因為該公司目前還沒有真正關注利潤。這可能解釋了價格較高的原因。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收益和收入隨時間的變化情況(如果您點擊該圖,您可以看到更多詳細資訊)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600282 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 23rd 2023
上海證交所:600282收益和收入增長2023年10月23日

This free interactive report on Nanjing Iron & Steel's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

免費如果你想進一步調查南鋼的股票,那麼有關南鋼資產負債表實力的互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Nanjing Iron & Steel's TSR for the last 3 years was 50%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR包括任何剝離或貼現融資的價值,以及任何股息,基於股息再投資的假設。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。碰巧的是,南鋼最近三年的TSR為50%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's nice to see that Nanjing Iron & Steel shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 22% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 7%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Nanjing Iron & Steel (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

令人欣慰的是,南京鋼鐵的股東在過去一年裡獲得了22%的總股東回報。這還包括股息。這一收益好於過去五年的年度TSR,後者為7%。因此,最近圍繞該公司的情緒似乎一直是積極的。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示著一些真正的商業勢頭,意味著現在可能是深入研究的好時機。我發現,把股價作為衡量企業業績的長期指標是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他資訊。例如,我們發現南鋼的2個警示標誌(1有點令人不快!)在這裡投資之前你應該意識到這一點。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你喜歡和管理層一起買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這本書免費公司名單.(提示:內部人士一直在買入這些股票)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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