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Is Huafu Fashion (SZSE:002042) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Huafu Fashion (SZSE:002042) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

華富時尚(深交所:002042)是否以冒險的方式使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/25 18:56

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Huafu Fashion Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002042) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

巴菲特(Warren Buffett)曾說過一句名言:波動性遠非風險的代名詞。因此,當你考慮到任何一隻股票的風險有多大時,你需要考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因為太多的債務可能會讓一家公司倒閉。我們可以看到華福服飾有限公司。(SZSE:002042)確實在其業務中使用債務。但這筆債務對股東來說是一個擔憂嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務在什麼時候是危險的?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是用新資本還是用自由現金流。資本主義的一部分是“創造性破壞”的過程,破產的企業被銀行家無情地清算。然而,更常見(但代價仍然高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以極低的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東的股份,只是為了支撐其資產負債表。當然,在企業中,債務可以是一個重要的工具,特別是資本密集型企業。當我們檢查債務水準時,我們首先同時考慮現金和債務水準。

Check out our latest analysis for Huafu Fashion

查看我們對華福時尚的最新分析

What Is Huafu Fashion's Net Debt?

華府時尚的淨負債是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Huafu Fashion had CN¥8.59b in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥4.43b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥4.16b.

下面的圖表顯示,2023年6月,華福時尚的債務為85.9億元人民幣;與前一年大致相同。你可以點擊查看更多詳細資訊。然而,由於其擁有44.3億加元的現金儲備,其淨債務較少,約為41.6億加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002042 Debt to Equity History October 25th 2023
深圳證交所:002042債轉股歷史2023年10月25日

How Strong Is Huafu Fashion's Balance Sheet?

華府時尚的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Huafu Fashion had liabilities of CN¥9.89b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.40b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.43b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.77b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥5.09b.

根據最近一次報告的資產負債表,華富時尚有98.9億加元的負債在12個月內到期,14.0億加元的負債在12個月後到期。作為對這些債務的抵消,該公司有44.3億加元的現金以及17.7億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債比現金和(近期)應收賬款之和高出50.9億元。

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥5.69b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Huafu Fashion can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

相對於其56.9億元的市值,這是一個堆積如山的槓桿。這表明,如果該公司需要匆忙支撐其資產負債表,股東將被嚴重稀釋。在分析債務水準時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定華府時尚能否隨著時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

In the last year Huafu Fashion had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 18%, to CN¥14b. That's not what we would hope to see.

去年,華福時尚出現息稅前虧損,收入縮水18%,至140億元人民幣。這不是我們希望看到的。

Caveat Emptor

告誡買入者

Not only did Huafu Fashion's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost CN¥526m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CN¥562m into a profit. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Huafu Fashion has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

華府時尚不僅在過去12個月裡收入下滑,而且息稅前收益(EBIT)也出現了負增長。事實上,在息稅前利潤水準上,它虧損了5.26億加元。考慮到除了上面提到的債務,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。坦率地說,我們認為資產負債表遠遠不能與之匹配,儘管隨著時間的推移,它可能會得到改善。如果它將過去12個月5.62億元的虧損扭虧為盈,我們會感覺更好。因此,簡而言之,這是一隻非常有風險的股票。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。例如,華福時尚就有2個個警告標誌(和1個潛在的嚴重問題)我們認為您應該知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資於可以在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的企業,那麼看看這個免費資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業名單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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