share_log

China Express AirlinesLTD (SZSE:002928) Adds CN¥522m to Market Cap in the Past 7 Days, Though Investors From Three Years Ago Are Still Down 39%

China Express AirlinesLTD (SZSE:002928) Adds CN¥522m to Market Cap in the Past 7 Days, Though Investors From Three Years Ago Are Still Down 39%

中國快運航空有限公司(深交所:002928)在過去7天內市值增加了5.22億元人民幣,儘管三年前的投資者仍下跌了39%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/27 21:33

Many investors define successful investing as beating the market average over the long term. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. We regret to report that long term China Express Airlines Co.,LTD (SZSE:002928) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 39% in three years, versus a market decline of about 12%. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 36% lower in that time. Furthermore, it's down 20% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 11% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

許多投資者將成功的投資定義為長期超過市場平均水準。但幾乎可以肯定的是,有時你會買入低於市場平均回報率的股票。我們很遺憾地報告這一長期的中國快遞航空股份有限公司(SZSE:002928)股東有過這樣的經歷,股價在三年內下跌了39%,而市場跌幅約為12%。在過去的一年裡,這一過程並沒有變得更順利,價格在這段時間裡下降了36%。此外,它在大約四分之一的時間裡下跌了20%。對於持有者來說,這並不是什麼樂趣。當然,在此期間,這一股價走勢很可能受到了大盤11%跌幅的影響。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last three years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

儘管過去一週對股東來說更令人安心,但他們在過去三年仍處於虧損狀態,所以讓我們看看基礎業務是否對股價下跌負有責任。

View our latest analysis for China Express AirlinesLTD

查看我們對中國快運航空公司的最新分析

Because China Express AirlinesLTD made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

由於中國快遞在過去12個月中出現虧損,我們認為市場可能更關注營收和營收增長,至少目前是這樣。當一家公司沒有盈利時,我們通常預計會看到良好的收入增長。一些公司願意推遲盈利以更快地增長收入,但在這種情況下,人們確實預計營收會有良好的增長。

In the last three years China Express AirlinesLTD saw its revenue shrink by 20% per year. That means its revenue trend is very weak compared to other loss making companies. With revenue in decline, the share price decline of 12% per year is hardly undeserved. The key question now is whether the company has the capacity to fund itself to profitability, without more cash. The company will need to return to revenue growth as quickly as possible, if it wants to see some enthusiasm from investors.

在過去的三年裡,中國快遞公司的收入以每年20%的速度縮水。這意味著與其他虧損的公司相比,它的收入趨勢非常疲軟。在收入下滑的情況下,股價以每年12%的速度下跌並不是不應該的。現在的關鍵問題是,在沒有更多現金的情況下,該公司是否有能力為自己的盈利提供資金。如果該公司希望看到投資者的一些熱情,它將需要儘快恢復收入增長。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的收入和收益(隨著時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看具體數位)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002928 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 28th 2023
深交所:2023年10月28日收益和收入增長002928

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

你可以看到它的資產負債表是如何隨著時間的推移而加強(或削弱)的免費互動式圖形。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 4.6% in the twelve months, China Express AirlinesLTD shareholders did even worse, losing 36%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with China Express AirlinesLTD , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

雖然大盤在過去12個月裡下跌了約4.6%,但中國航空股份有限公司股東的表現更糟,下跌了36%。然而,這可能只是因為股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。也許有必要關注基本面,以防出現良機。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示著尚未解決的挑戰,因為它比過去五年4%的年化損失更糟糕。我們意識到,羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該“在街上血淋淋的時候買入”,但我們警告投資者,首先應該確保他們購買的是一家高質量的企業。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,考慮一下無處不在的投資風險幽靈。我們已經確定了1個警告信號與中國快遞航空有限公司合作,瞭解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你更願意看看另一家公司--一家財務狀況可能更好的公司--那麼不要錯過這一點免費已證明自己能夠實現盈利增長的公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論