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Downgrade: Here's How Analysts See Shijiazhuang Shangtai Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001301) Performing In The Near Term

Downgrade: Here's How Analysts See Shijiazhuang Shangtai Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001301) Performing In The Near Term

降級:以下是分析師對石家莊尚泰科技股份有限公司(SZSE: 001301)短期表現的看法
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/28 20:08

The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Shijiazhuang Shangtai Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001301), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon.

最新的分析師報道可能預示著對石家莊尚泰科技有限公司。(SZSE:001301),分析師們全面削減了他們的法定預期,這可能會讓股東們有點震驚。營收和每股收益(EPS)預期雙雙下調,分析師認為地平線上將出現烏雲。

Following the downgrade, the latest consensus from Shijiazhuang Shangtai Technology's four analysts is for revenues of CN¥4.8b in 2023, which would reflect a decent 8.2% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are anticipated to shrink 6.4% to CN¥2.91 in the same period. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥5.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥3.87 in 2023. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a large cut to earnings per share numbers as well.

評級下調後,石家莊尚泰科技的四位分析師的最新共識是,2023年收入將達到人民幣48億元,這將反映出與過去12個月相比,銷售額增長了8.2%。預計同期法定每股收益將縮水6.4%,至2.91加元。在此次最新更新之前,分析師一直預測2023年收入為54億加元,每股收益為3.87元。看起來分析師的信心已經大幅下降,營收預期大幅下降,每股收益數位也大幅下調。

View our latest analysis for Shijiazhuang Shangtai Technology

查看我們對石家莊尚泰科技的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:001301 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 29th 2023
深交所:2023年10月29日收益和收入增長001301

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 20% to CN¥61.82.

如果分析師將目標股價下調20%,至61.82加元,也就不足為奇了。

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Shijiazhuang Shangtai Technology's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Shijiazhuang Shangtai Technology's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2023 expected to display 8.2% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 36% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 22% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Shijiazhuang Shangtai Technology is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

這些估計很有趣,但在觀察預測與石家莊尚泰科技過去的表現以及與同行業同行的比較時,勾勒出一些更寬泛的線條可能會很有用。很明顯,人們預計石家莊尚泰科技的收入增長將大幅放緩,截至2023年底的收入預計將按年率計算增長8.2%。相比之下,過去五年的歷史增長率為36%。相比之下,該行業的其他公司(與分析師的預測)預計收入將以每年22%的速度增長。考慮到增長放緩的預期,石家莊尚泰科技的增長速度預計也將低於其他行業參與者,這似乎是顯而易見的。

The Bottom Line

底線

The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of Shijiazhuang Shangtai Technology.

最重要的是,分析師們下調了每股收益預期,預計商業環境將出現明顯下滑。令人遺憾的是,他們還下調了收入預期,最新預測表明,該業務的銷售增長將低於更廣泛的市場。隨著今年預期的大幅下調和目標價的下降,如果投資者對石家莊尚泰科技變得警惕,我們也不會感到意外。

That said, the analysts might have good reason to be negative on Shijiazhuang Shangtai Technology, given concerns around earnings quality. For more information, you can click here to discover this and the 2 other flags we've identified.

話雖如此,考慮到對盈利質量的擔憂,分析師們可能有充分的理由對石家莊尚泰科技持負面看法。欲瞭解更多資訊,您可以點擊此處瞭解這一點,以及我們已經確定的其他兩面旗幟。

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

蒐索有趣的公司的另一種方式可能是到達拐點是跟蹤管理層是在買入還是在賣出,我們的免費內部人士正在收購的成長型公司名單.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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