Is Shanghai Jiao Yun Group (SHSE:600676) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Shanghai Jiao Yun Group (SHSE:600676) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Shanghai Jiao Yun Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600676) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
傳奇基金經理Li·Lu曾說過,最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。當我們考慮一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡看它對債務的使用,因為債務過重可能導致破產。我們可以看到上海交運集團有限公司。(上海證券交易所:600676)確實在其業務中使用債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否讓該公司面臨風險。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務會帶來什麼風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般來說,只有當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成為一個真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資金還是用自己的現金流。最終,如果公司不能履行其償還債務的法定義務,股東可能會一無所有地離開。然而,一種更常見(但仍令人痛苦)的情景是,它不得不以低價籌集新的股本,從而永久性地稀釋股東。然而,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本投資於高回報率增長的企業來說,債務可以成為一個非常好的工具。當我們檢查債務水準時,我們首先同時考慮現金和債務水準。
View our latest analysis for Shanghai Jiao Yun Group
查看我們對上海交雲集團的最新分析
What Is Shanghai Jiao Yun Group's Net Debt?
上海交運集團的淨負債是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shanghai Jiao Yun Group had debt of CN¥59.9m at the end of June 2023, a reduction from CN¥70.1m over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.86b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.80b net cash position.
下圖顯示,截至2023年6月底,上海交運集團的債務為5990萬加元,低於一年內的7010萬加元。你可以點擊查看更多詳細資訊。但另一方面,它也有18.6億加元的現金,導致18億加元的淨現金頭寸。
How Healthy Is Shanghai Jiao Yun Group's Balance Sheet?
上海交雲集團的資產負債表有多健康?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Shanghai Jiao Yun Group had liabilities of CN¥1.48b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥692.6m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.86b and CN¥1.87b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥1.57b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,上海交雲集團有14.8億加元的負債在一年內到期,6.926億加元的負債在一年內到期。另一方面,一年內有18.6億元現金和18.7億元應收賬款到期。所以它實際上有15.7億元人民幣更多流動資產超過總負債。
This surplus strongly suggests that Shanghai Jiao Yun Group has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Succinctly put, Shanghai Jiao Yun Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shanghai Jiao Yun Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
這一盈餘強烈表明,上海交雲集團擁有堅如磐石的資產負債表(債務絲毫不令人擔憂)。按照這種觀點,貸款人應該會覺得自己像黑帶空手道大師的寵兒一樣安全。簡而言之,上海交雲集團擁有淨現金,可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但你不能完全孤立地看待債務,因為上海交雲集團需要盈利來償還債務。因此,如果你熱衷於瞭解更多關於它的收益,可能值得查看一下它的長期收益趨勢圖。
Over 12 months, Shanghai Jiao Yun Group saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that hardly impresses, its not too bad either.
在過去的12個月裡,上海交雲集團的收入相當穩定,沒有公佈正的息稅前收益。雖然這不會給人留下深刻的印象,但也不算太糟糕。
So How Risky Is Shanghai Jiao Yun Group?
那麼,上海交雲集團的風險有多大呢?
While Shanghai Jiao Yun Group lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥171m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. We'll feel more comfortable with the stock once EBIT is positive, given the lacklustre revenue growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shanghai Jiao Yun Group (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.
雖然上海交雲集團在息稅前利潤(EBIT)水準上出現虧損,但它實際上錄得1.71億元人民幣的賬面利潤。因此,從表面上看,考慮到現金,我們認為短期內風險不是很大。考慮到收入增長乏力,一旦息稅前利潤為正,我們將對該股感到更放心。在分析債務水準時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現上海交運集團的2個警示標誌(其中1人可能是嚴重的!)你應該知道。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有興趣投資於可以在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的企業,那麼看看這個免費資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業名單。
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