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Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600519) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600519) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

貴州茅台酒股份有限公司's (SHSE: 600519) 基本面看起來相當強勁:市場對股票的看法會錯嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/31 18:00

With its stock down 10% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Kweichow Moutai (SHSE:600519). However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Kweichow Moutai's ROE today.

由於貴州茅台股價在過去三個月中下跌了10%,很容易被忽視(上海證券交易所代碼:600519)。但是,仔細觀察其良好的財務狀況可能會讓你重新考慮。鑑於基本面通常會推動長期市場業績,該公司值得關注。特別是,我們今天將關注貴州茅台的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回報率或投資回報率是用於評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,它衡量公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

View our latest analysis for Kweichow Moutai

查看我們對貴州茅台酒的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Kweichow Moutai is:

因此,根據上述公式,貴州茅台酒的投資回報率爲:

33% = CN¥74b ÷ CN¥225b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

33% = CN¥74b ¥225b(基於截至 2023 年 9 月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.33 in profit.

“申報表” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入金額。另一種思考方式是,每持有價值人民幣1元的股權,該公司就能賺取0.33元人民幣的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。然後,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力,具體取決於公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存率高的公司的增長率要高於不具有這些屬性的公司。

Kweichow Moutai's Earnings Growth And 33% ROE

貴州茅台的收益增長和33%的投資回報率

First thing first, we like that Kweichow Moutai has an impressive ROE. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 18% which is quite remarkable. Probably as a result of this, Kweichow Moutai was able to see a decent net income growth of 14% over the last five years.

首先,我們喜歡貴州茅台酒的投資回報率令人印象深刻。此外,該公司的投資回報率高於行業平均水平的18%,這非常引人注目。可能是由於這個原因,貴州茅台在過去五年中得以實現14%的不錯的淨收入增長。

We then performed a comparison between Kweichow Moutai's net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 18% in the same 5-year period.

然後,我們對貴州茅台酒的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,結果顯示該公司的增長與5年同期18%的行業平均增長率相似。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600519 Past Earnings Growth October 31st 2023
上海證券交易所:600519 過去的收益增長 2023 年 10 月 31 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is 600519 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。600519 的估值是否合理?這張關於公司內在價值的信息圖包含了你需要知道的一切。

Is Kweichow Moutai Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

貴州茅台是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

Kweichow Moutai has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 49% (or a retention ratio of 51%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

如上所述,貴州茅台酒的三年期中位派息率爲49%(或留存率爲51%)與可觀的收益增長完美結合,這意味着該公司一直在有效利用其利潤。

Additionally, Kweichow Moutai has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 52%. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 31%.

此外,貴州茅台已經在至少十年內派發了股息,這意味着該公司非常認真地與股東分享利潤。我們的最新分析師數據顯示,公司未來三年的派息率預計約爲52%。因此,預計該公司未來的投資回報率也不會有太大變化,分析師預計投資回報率爲31%。

Summary

摘要

In total, we are pretty happy with Kweichow Moutai's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們對貴州茅台酒的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡該公司以高回報率再投資其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致該公司的收益大幅增長。最新的行業分析師預測顯示,預計該公司將保持目前的增長率。這些分析師的預期是基於對該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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