Hovnanian Enterprises (NYSE:HOV) Delivers Shareholders Stellar 18% CAGR Over 5 Years, Surging 16% in the Last Week Alone
Hovnanian Enterprises (NYSE:HOV) Delivers Shareholders Stellar 18% CAGR Over 5 Years, Surging 16% in the Last Week Alone
It hasn't been the best quarter for Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. (NYSE:HOV) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 25% in that time. But that scarcely detracts from the really solid long term returns generated by the company over five years. In fact, the share price is 129% higher today. So while it's never fun to see a share price fall, it's important to look at a longer time horizon. The more important question is whether the stock is too cheap or too expensive today.
對於Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc.(紐約證券交易所代碼:HOV)股東來說,這並不是最好的季度,因爲當時股價下跌了25%。但這幾乎沒有減損該公司在五年內創造的真正可觀的長期回報。實際上,今天的股價上漲了129%。因此,儘管看到股價下跌從來都不是一件好玩的事,但重要的是要從更長的時間跨度來看。更重要的問題是,今天的股票是太便宜還是太昂貴。
The past week has proven to be lucrative for Hovnanian Enterprises investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.
事實證明,過去一週對Hovnanian Enterprises的投資者來說是有利可圖的,因此讓我們看看基本面是否推動了該公司的五年業績。
View our latest analysis for Hovnanian Enterprises
查看我們對霍夫納尼亞企業的最新分析
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
During the last half decade, Hovnanian Enterprises became profitable. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here. Since the company was unprofitable five years ago, but not three years ago, it's worth taking a look at the returns in the last three years, too. We can see that the Hovnanian Enterprises share price is up 105% in the last three years. Meanwhile, EPS is up 169% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 27% average annual increase in the share price over the same three years. So you might conclude the market is a little more cautious about the stock, these days. This unenthusiastic sentiment is reflected in the stock's reasonably modest P/E ratio of 3.27.
在過去的五年中,Hovnanian Enterprises實現了盈利。正如我們在這裏看到的那樣,這種轉變可能是一個轉折點,可以證明股價的強勁上漲是合理的。由於該公司在五年前(但不到三年前)無利可圖,因此過去三年的回報也值得一看。我們可以看到,Hovnanian Enterprises的股價在過去三年中上漲了105%。同時,每股收益每年增長169%。每股收益的增長高於同三年中股價平均每年增長27%。因此,你可能會得出結論,如今市場對該股更加謹慎。這種不熱情的情緒反映在該股相當溫和的市盈率爲3.27上。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,可在此處查閱。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
We're pleased to report that Hovnanian Enterprises shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 116% over one year. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 18% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Hovnanian Enterprises better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Hovnanian Enterprises , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
我們很高興地向大家報告,Hovnanian Enterprises的股東在一年內獲得了116%的股東總回報率。由於一年期股東總回報率好於五年期股東總回報率(後者爲每年18%),該股的表現似乎在最近有所改善。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的商業勢頭,這意味着現在可能是深入研究的好時機。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解Hovnanian Enterprises,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,以永遠存在的投資風險幽靈爲例。我們已經在Hovnanian Enterprises發現了兩個警告信號,了解它們應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,通過尋找其他地方,你可能會找到一筆不錯的投資。因此,請看一下我們預計收益將增加的這份免費公司名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。