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Optimism for Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd (SHSE:603617) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings

Optimism for Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd (SHSE:603617) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings

儘管收益連續五年下降,但上週人們對君和泵業控股有限公司(SHSE: 603617)的樂觀情緒有所增加
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/04 07:23

Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, long term Junhe Pumps Holding Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603617) shareholders have enjoyed a 40% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 32% (not including dividends).

選擇股票的人通常尋找能超越整個市場的股票。事實上,如果你以適當的價格買入優質企業,你可以獲得顯著的收益。例如,長期以來,君禾股份股份有限公司(SHSE:603617)的股東享受了近五年40%的股價上漲,遠超市場回報率32%(不包括分紅)。

Since it's been a strong week for Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

由於最近君禾股份股票表現強勁,讓我們來看看長期基本面的趨勢。

Check out our latest analysis for Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd

查看我們對君禾股份股票的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

雖然有效市場假說仍然被一些人教授,但被證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。檢查市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是看一個公司的股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的交互作用。

Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd's earnings per share are down 18% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

儘管在過去五年中君禾股份股票表現強勁,但每股收益每年下降18%。

Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

基本上,投資者似乎並未關注每股收益。因爲每股收益似乎與股價不匹配,所以我們將查看其他指標。

The modest 0.3% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 5.5% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

股息收益率僅爲0.3%,不太可能支撐股價。相比之下,每年5.5%的營業收入增長可能被視爲君禾股份有限公司正處於增長階段的證據,是一個真正的積極因素。在這種情況下,該公司可能犧牲當前每股收益來推動增長。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以看到以下收益和營收的變化情況(通過單擊圖像了解精確值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603617 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 3rd 2023
SHSE:603617收益和營業收入增長2023年11月3日

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

資產負債表強度至關重要。查看我們關於其財務狀況如何隨時間變化的免費報告可能很值得一看。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd, it has a TSR of 49% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股票回報之間的差異。 TSR包括任何剝離或折讓的資本籌集(基於股息被重新投資的假設),以及任何股息。因此,對於支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回報高得多。就中國神威藥業集團而言,其TSR在過去5年中達到了75%。這超過了我們之前提到的股票回報。該公司支付的股息已經提高了總股東回報。總股東回報股票回報。而股價回報僅反映了股價的變動,TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息被再投資)以及任何折扣增資或分拆所帶來的好處。所以對於那些支付豐厚股息的公司來說,TSR通常比股價回報要高很多。以君禾股份有限公司爲例,過去5年的TSR爲49%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。該公司支付的分紅派息因此提升了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

The total return of 4.1% received by Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd shareholders over the last year isn't far from the market return of -4.6%. The silver lining is that longer term investors would have made a total return of 8% per year over half a decade. If the stock price has been impacted by changing sentiment, rather than deteriorating business conditions, it could spell opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

君禾泵業股份有限公司股東在過去一年中獲得的總回報率爲4.1%,與市場回報率-4.6%相差不遠。值得一提的是,長期投資者在過去的五年中每年總回報率爲8%。如果股價受情緒變化影響,而不是業務條件惡化,這可能意味着機會。我發現長期關注股價作爲業績的替代品非常有趣。但要真正獲得深入的見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。比如風險。每家公司都有這些風險,我們已經發現了君禾泵業股份有限公司的4個警告信號(其中1個有點令人擔憂!)你應該知道。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找獲勝投資的人,這個具有最近內部購買的增長型公司免費列表可能是您的不二選擇。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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