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Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment's (SHSE:688638) Earnings Might Be Weaker Than You Think

Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment's (SHSE:688638) Earnings Might Be Weaker Than You Think

深圳宇泰智能裝備(SHSE: 688638)的收益可能比你想象的要弱
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/05 19:01

Shareholders didn't seem to be thrilled with Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688638) recent earnings report, despite healthy profit numbers. We think that they might be concerned about some underlying details that our analysis found.

股東們似乎對深圳宇泰智能裝備有限公司並不感到興奮。”s (SHSE: 688638) 儘管利潤數字良好,但最近的收益報告。我們認爲他們可能會擔心我們的分析發現的一些潛在細節。

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment

查看我們對深圳UTIMES智能設備的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:688638 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2023
上海證券交易所:688638 收益和收入記錄 2023 年 11 月 6 日

A Closer Look At Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment's Earnings

仔細看看深圳UTIMES智能裝備的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。雖然正應計比率表明非現金利潤達到一定水平不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。

For the year to September 2023, Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment had an accrual ratio of 1.05. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥121m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥78.3m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥121m, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2023年9月的一年中,深圳宇泰智能裝備的應計比率爲1.05。從統計學上講,這對未來的收益來說確實是負面的。換句話說,該公司在那段時間內沒有產生任何自由現金流。在過去的一年裏,它實際上是 負面的 自由現金流爲1.21億元人民幣,而上述利潤爲7,830萬元人民幣。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年1.21億元人民幣的現金消耗是否表明存在高風險。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對深圳UTIMES智能裝備的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥15m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

考慮到應計比率,在過去十二個月中,深圳UTIMES智能裝備的利潤受到價值1500萬元人民幣的不尋常物品的提振也就不足爲奇了。我們不能否認,更高的利潤通常使我們感到樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。當我們計算數千家上市公司的數字時,我們發現,特定年份中不尋常的項目所帶來的提振通常不會在第二年重演。這是你所期望的,因爲這些提升被描述爲 “不尋常”。如果深圳UTIMES智能裝備的這種貢獻不重演,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計其利潤將在本年度下降。

Our Take On Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment's Profit Performance

我們對深圳UTIMES智能裝備的盈利表現的看法

Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. Considering all this we'd argue Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

深圳UTIMES智能裝備的應計比率較弱,但其利潤確實受到不尋常物品的提振。考慮到所有這些,我們認爲深圳宇泰智能裝備的利潤可能給人一種過於慷慨的印象,即其可持續的盈利水平。請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意所涉及的風險。例如,深圳UTIMES智能設備有兩個警告標誌(其中一個很重要),我們認爲你應該知道。

Our examination of Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我們對深圳UTIMES智能裝備的研究側重於某些可能使其收益看起來比現在更好的因素。而且,在此基礎上,我們有些懷疑。但是,還有很多其他方法可以告知你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率表明商業經濟狀況良好,而另一些人則喜歡 “追隨資金”,尋找內部人士正在購買的股票。儘管可能需要代表你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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