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Those Who Invested in Nasdaq (NASDAQ:NDAQ) Five Years Ago Are up 84%

Those Who Invested in Nasdaq (NASDAQ:NDAQ) Five Years Ago Are up 84%

五年前投資納斯達克(納斯達克股票代碼:NDAQ)的人上漲了84%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/06 09:22

Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, long term Nasdaq, Inc. (NASDAQ:NDAQ) shareholders have enjoyed a 70% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 51% (not including dividends).

選股者通常在尋找表現優於大盤的股票。事實是,如果你以合適的價格購買優質的企業,你可以獲得可觀的收益。例如,長期 納斯達克公司 納斯達克股票代碼:NDAQ)股東在過去五年中股價上漲了70%,遠遠超過了約51%的市場回報率(不包括股息)。

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

因此,讓我們評估過去5年的基本面,看看它們是否與股東回報步調一致。

See our latest analysis for Nasdaq

查看我們對納斯達克的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

During five years of share price growth, Nasdaq achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 4.9% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 11% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.

在五年的股價增長中,納斯達克實現了每年4.9%的複合每股收益(EPS)增長。每股收益的增長低於同期股價每年11%的增長。這表明,如今,市場參與者對公司的重視程度更高。考慮到增長記錄,這並不令人震驚。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGS:NDAQ Earnings Per Share Growth November 6th 2023
納斯達克:NDAQ 每股收益增長 2023 年 11 月 6 日

It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Nasdaq's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

很高興看到在過去三個月中出現了一些大規模的內幕買盤。這是積極的。也就是說,我們認爲收益和收入增長趨勢是更重要的考慮因素。查看這張納斯達克收益、收入和現金流的交互式圖表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Nasdaq the TSR over the last 5 years was 84%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報(TSR)。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設股息已被再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報。我們注意到,納斯達克過去5年的股東總回報率爲84%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Nasdaq shareholders are down 18% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 16%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 13%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Nasdaq (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

納斯達克股東今年下跌了18%(甚至包括股息),但市場本身卻上漲了16%。但是,請記住,即使是最好的股票有時也會在十二個月內表現遜於市場。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年獲得13%的收入。如果基本面數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,那麼當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。我發現從長遠來看,將股價視爲業務表現的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們發現了 納斯達克有 2 個警告標誌 (1 有點令人擔憂!)在這裏投資之前,你應該注意這一點。

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

還有很多其他公司有內部人士買入股票。你可能這樣做 想錯過這個 免費的 內部人士正在收購的成長型公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 取得聯繫 直接和我們在一起。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。 我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街在上述任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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