HongboLtd (SZSE:002229) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
HongboLtd (SZSE:002229) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Hongbo Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002229) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,Hongbo Co., Ltd.(深圳證券交易所:002229)使用債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務會帶來什麼風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
當企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會變得有風險。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表着廉價的資本,尤其是當它取代了具有高回報率再投資能力的公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮公司對債務的使用時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。
Check out our latest analysis for HongboLtd
查看我們對HongBoltd的最新分析
What Is HongboLtd's Net Debt?
HongBoltd 的淨負債是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 HongboLtd had debt of CN¥460.8m, up from CN¥373.4m in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥860.4m in cash, leading to a CN¥399.5m net cash position.
下圖顯示截至2023年9月,Hongboltd的債務爲4.608億元人民幣,高於一年的3.734億元人民幣,你可以點擊下圖了解更多詳情。但另一方面,它也有8.604億元人民幣的現金,淨現金頭寸爲3.995億元人民幣。
A Look At HongboLtd's Liabilities
看看 HongBoltd 的負債
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that HongboLtd had liabilities of CN¥644.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥231.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥860.4m in cash and CN¥275.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥260.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
縱觀最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,Hongboltd在12個月內到期的負債爲6.443億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲2.316億元人民幣。抵消這一點的是,它有8.604億元人民幣的現金和2.757億元人民幣的應收賬款,這些應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的流動資產可以比之多2.602億元人民幣 總 負債。
Having regard to HongboLtd's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥18.5b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that HongboLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since HongboLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
考慮到HongBoltD的規模,其流動資產與總負債似乎非常平衡。因此,這家185億元人民幣的公司不太可能出現現金短缺,但仍值得關注資產負債表。簡而言之,HongBoltD的現金多於債務這一事實可以說很好地表明它可以安全地管理債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲HongBoltd需要收益來償還這筆債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。點擊此處查看交互式快照。
In the last year HongboLtd wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 16%, to CN¥633m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
去年,HongBoltd在息稅前利潤水平上沒有實現盈利,但其收入成功增長了16%,達到6.33億元人民幣。就我們的口味而言,這種增長速度有點慢,但是創造一個世界需要所有類型。
So How Risky Is HongboLtd?
那麼 HongBoltd 的風險有多大?
Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And the fact is that over the last twelve months HongboLtd lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥246m and booked a CN¥61m accounting loss. With only CN¥399.5m on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for HongboLtd that you should be aware of.
從統計學上講,虧損的公司比賺錢的公司風險更大。事實是,在過去的十二個月中,HongBoltd在息稅前收益(EBIT)方面蒙受了損失。同期,它的自由現金流出爲負2.46億元人民幣,會計虧損爲6100萬元人民幣。由於資產負債表上只有3.995億元人民幣,看來它需要很快再次籌集資金。總體而言,目前其資產負債表似乎風險不大,但在看到正的自由現金流之前,我們始終保持謹慎。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們已經爲HongBoltd確定了兩個警告標誌,您應該注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。
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