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As Designer Brands (NYSE:DBI) Surges 12% This Past Week, Investors May Now Be Noticing the Company's Five-year Earnings Growth

As Designer Brands (NYSE:DBI) Surges 12% This Past Week, Investors May Now Be Noticing the Company's Five-year Earnings Growth

隨着設計師品牌(紐約證券交易所代碼:DBI)上週飆升12%,投資者現在可能會注意到該公司的五年收益增長
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/09 06:43

This week we saw the Designer Brands Inc. (NYSE:DBI) share price climb by 12%. But don't envy holders -- looking back over 5 years the returns have been really bad. In that time the share price has delivered a rude shock to holders, who find themselves down 60% after a long stretch. So we're hesitant to put much weight behind the short term increase. We'd err towards caution given the long term under-performance.

這周我們看到了 設計師品牌公司 紐約證券交易所代碼:DBI)的股價上漲了12%。但是不要羨慕持有者——回顧過去的5年,回報非常糟糕。在那段時間裏,股價給持有人帶來了粗魯的衝擊,他們發現自己在很長一段時間後下跌了60%。因此,我們不願爲短期增長加大力度。鑑於長期表現不佳,我們會謹慎行事。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

儘管過去一週令股東更加放心,但在過去五年中,他們仍處於虧損狀態,所以讓我們看看基礎業務是否是造成下降的原因。

See our latest analysis for Designer Brands

查看我們對設計師品牌的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During five years of share price growth, Designer Brands moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

在股價增長的五年中,Designer Brands從虧損轉爲盈利。這通常被認爲是積極的,因此我們驚訝地看到股價下跌。其他指標可能更好地解釋股價的走勢。

The modest 1.9% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. Revenue is actually up 0.4% over the time period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.

1.9%的適度股息收益率不太可能指導市場對該股的看法。在此期間,收入實際上增長了0.4%。因此,看來人們可能必須仔細研究基本面才能理解股價下跌的原因。畢竟,可能有機會。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收入和收入隨時間推移的跟蹤情況(如果您點擊圖片,可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:DBI Earnings and Revenue Growth November 9th 2023
紐約證券交易所:DBI 收益和收入增長 2023 年 11 月 9 日

We know that Designer Brands has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

我們知道,在過去的三年中,Designer Brands的利潤有所提高,但是未來會怎樣?你可以在這篇文章中看到其資產負債表是如何隨着時間的推移而增強(或減弱)的 免費的 交互式圖形。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Designer Brands, it has a TSR of -55% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率以及股價回報。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設股息已被再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報。就設計師品牌而言,其過去5年的股東總回報率爲-55%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息促進了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Designer Brands shareholders are down 24% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 17%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 9% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 5 warning signs we've spotted with Designer Brands (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

Designer Brands的股東今年下跌了24%(甚至包括股息),但市場本身卻上漲了17%。即使是優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望看到企業的基本指標有所改善,然後才會變得過於感興趣。令人遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東們在五年內每年面臨9%的總虧損。我們意識到,羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。我發現從長遠來看,將股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,你應該了解 5 個警告標誌 我們發現了設計師品牌(包括一個有點令人擔憂的品牌)。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想與管理層一起買入股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這個 免費的 公司名單。(提示:內部人士一直在購買它們)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 取得聯繫 直接和我們在一起。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。 我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街在上述任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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