Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Brilliance Technology (SZSE:300542) the Stock Swells 13%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 83%
Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Brilliance Technology (SZSE:300542) the Stock Swells 13%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 83%
When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, long term Brilliance Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300542) shareholders have enjoyed a 79% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 32% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 10.0% in the last year , including dividends .
當我們投資時,我們通常是在尋找表現超過市場平均水平的股票。收購被低估的企業是獲得超額回報的一種途徑。例如,華晨科技股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:300542)的長期股東在過去五年中股價上漲了79%,遠遠超過了約32%的市場回報率(不包括股息)。但是,最近的回報並不那麼令人印象深刻,該股去年的回報率僅爲10.0%,包括股息。
After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.
在過去一週強勁上漲之後,值得一看的是長期回報是否是由基本面改善推動的。
Check out our latest analysis for Brilliance Technology
查看我們對華晨科技的最新分析
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。考慮市場對公司的看法如何變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價變動進行比較。
During five years of share price growth, Brilliance Technology actually saw its EPS drop 9.2% per year.
在五年的股價增長中,華晨科技的每股收益實際上每年下降9.2%。
This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.
這意味着市場不太可能根據收益增長來評判該公司。由於每股收益似乎與股價不符,因此我們將改爲研究其他指標。
The modest 0.1% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. On the other hand, Brilliance Technology's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 10% over the last five years. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
0.1%的適度股息收益率不太可能支撐股價。另一方面,華晨科技的收入增長良好,在過去五年中複合增長率爲10%。在這種情況下,該公司可能會犧牲當前的每股收益來推動增長。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
公司的收入和收益(一段時間內)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。
This free interactive report on Brilliance Technology's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
如果你想進一步調查該股,這份關於華晨科技資產負債表實力的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Brilliance Technology, it has a TSR of 83% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報率 (TSR) 和 股價回報。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。就華晨科技而言,在過去的5年中,其股東回報率爲83%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
We're pleased to report that Brilliance Technology shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 10.0% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Having said that, the five-year TSR of 13% a year, is even better. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Brilliance Technology better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Brilliance Technology you should know about.
我們很高興地向大家報告,華晨科技的股東在一年內獲得了10.0%的總股東回報率。當然,這包括股息。話雖如此,每年13%的五年期股東總回報率甚至更好。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解華晨科技,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,考慮風險。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了你應該知道的華晨科技的3個警告信號。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
如果你想和管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司清單。(提示:內部人士一直在買入它們)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。