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Is Shaanxi Heimao Coking (SHSE:601015) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Is Shaanxi Heimao Coking (SHSE:601015) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

陝西黑貓焦化(SHSE: 601015)是否受到債務負擔的壓力?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/10 18:06

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Shaanxi Heimao Coking Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601015) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人說,作爲投資者,波動性而不是債務是考慮風險的最佳方式,但沃倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,聰明的貨幣似乎知道債務——通常與破產有關——是一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到,陝西黑貓焦化股份有限公司(SHSE:601015)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或利用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所有地離開。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,這樣才能控制債務。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

See our latest analysis for Shaanxi Heimao Coking

查看我們對陝西黑貓焦化的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Shaanxi Heimao Coking Carry?

陝西黑貓焦化揹負多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Shaanxi Heimao Coking had CN¥4.42b of debt, an increase on CN¥4.22b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥2.34b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥2.08b.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,陝西黑貓焦化在一年內有44.2億元人民幣的債務,比42.2億元人民幣增加了人民幣。但是,由於其現金儲備爲23.4億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲20.8億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601015 Debt to Equity History November 10th 2023
SHSE: 601015 債轉股歷史記錄 2023 年 11 月 10 日

How Strong Is Shaanxi Heimao Coking's Balance Sheet?

陝西黑貓焦化的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shaanxi Heimao Coking had liabilities of CN¥9.83b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥2.10b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.34b and CN¥543.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥9.05b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根據上次公佈的資產負債表,陝西黑貓焦化在12個月內到期的負債爲98.3億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲21.0億元人民幣。另一方面,它在一年內有23.4億元人民幣的現金和價值5.430億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出90.5億元人民幣。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥9.78b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Shaanxi Heimao Coking's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Shaanxi Heimao Coking's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

相對於97.8億元人民幣的市值,這一赤字相當可觀,因此這確實表明股東應密切關注陝西黑貓焦化對債務的使用。如果其貸款人要求其支撐資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重的稀釋。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但是,影響未來資產負債表表現的是陝西黑貓焦化的收益。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Over 12 months, Shaanxi Heimao Coking made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥19b, which is a fall of 14%. That's not what we would hope to see.

在過去的12個月中,陝西黑貓焦化在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入下降至1,900億元人民幣,下降了14%。這不是我們希望看到的。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

While Shaanxi Heimao Coking's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost CN¥206m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CN¥226m into a profit. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shaanxi Heimao Coking you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

儘管陝西黑貓焦化收入的下降差不多像樂觀主義者一樣令人心動,但可以說,其息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損的吸引力更小。事實上,它在息稅前利潤水平上損失了2.06億元人民幣。考慮到除了上述負債外,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大信心。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠非匹配,儘管隨着時間的推移可能會有所改善。如果它將過去十二個月的2.26億元人民幣的虧損轉化爲利潤,我們會感覺好些。因此,坦率地說,我們確實認爲這是有風險的。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外的風險。一個很好的例子:我們發現了你應該注意的陝西黑貓焦化的 2 個警告信號,其中 1 個有點令人擔憂。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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