Guomai Technologies, Inc.'s (SZSE:002093) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?
Guomai Technologies, Inc.'s (SZSE:002093) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?
Most readers would already be aware that Guomai Technologies' (SZSE:002093) stock increased significantly by 13% over the past three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Guomai Technologies' ROE in this article.
大多數讀者已經意識到,國邁科技(SZSE:002093)的股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了13%。但是,我們決定關注公司的基本面,這些基本面似乎並未給出公司財務狀況的明確信號。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究國邁科技的投資回報率。
Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
股本回報率或投資回報率是股東需要考慮的重要因素,因爲它可以告訴他們資本再投資的有效性。換句話說,它揭示了公司成功地將股東投資轉化爲利潤。
View our latest analysis for Guomai Technologies
查看我們對國邁科技的最新分析
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
你如何計算股本回報率?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
ROE 可以通過以下公式計算:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guomai Technologies is:
因此,根據上述公式,國脈科技的投資回報率爲:
3.2% = CN¥117m ÷ CN¥3.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
3.2% = 1.17億元人民幣 ¥36億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.03.
“回報” 是指公司去年的收益。因此,這意味着其股東每投資1元人民幣,公司就會產生0.03元人民幣的利潤。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.
我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存率高的公司的增長率要高於不具有這些屬性的公司。
Guomai Technologies' Earnings Growth And 3.2% ROE
國邁科技的收益增長和3.2%的投資回報率
It is quite clear that Guomai Technologies' ROE is rather low. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 5.8%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 8.2% seen by Guomai Technologies over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.
很明顯,國邁科技的投資回報率相當低。不僅如此,即使與5.8%的行業平均水平相比,該公司的投資回報率也完全不起眼。在這種情況下,國脈科技在過去五年中淨收入大幅下降8.2%也就不足爲奇了。我們認爲,可能還有其他方面對公司的收益前景產生負面影響。例如,該公司的支付率非常高,或者面臨競爭壓力。
However, when we compared Guomai Technologies' growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 7.0% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.
但是,當我們將國邁科技的增長與行業的增長進行比較時,我們發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在萎縮,但同期該行業的收益增長了7.0%。這非常令人擔憂。
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Guomai Technologies fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
收益增長是估值股票時要考慮的重要指標。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益增長是否已經包含在股價中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是黯淡的未來。與其他公司相比,國脈科技的估值是否公平?這三種估值指標可能有助於您做出決定。
Is Guomai Technologies Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
國邁科技是否在有效利用其利潤?
When we piece together Guomai Technologies' low three-year median payout ratio of 11% (where it is retaining 89% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.
當我們將國邁科技在過去三年中計算得出的低三年期中位支付率爲11%(保留了89%的利潤)時,我們對增長乏力感到困惑。當一家公司保留大部分收益時,情況通常不應該如此。因此,在這方面可能還有其他一些解釋。例如,公司的業務可能正在惡化。
Moreover, Guomai Technologies has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.
此外,國脈科技支付股息已有至少十年或更長時間,這表明管理層一定已經意識到股東更喜歡分紅而不是收益增長。
Summary
摘要
In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Guomai Technologies' performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for Guomai Technologies.
總的來說,我們對國邁科技的表現有些矛盾。儘管該公司的再投資率確實很高,但較低的投資回報率意味着所有這些再投資都沒有給投資者帶來任何好處,而且,它對收益增長產生了負面影響。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,做到這一點的一種方法是研究業務的風險狀況。我們的風險儀表板將顯示我們爲國邁科技確定的1種風險。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。 我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街在上述任何股票中都沒有頭寸。