Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.
Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Blivex Energy Technology (SZSE:300116) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.
View our latest analysis for Blivex Energy Technology
How Long Is Blivex Energy Technology's Cash Runway?
You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. When Blivex Energy Technology last reported its balance sheet in September 2023, it had zero debt and cash worth CN¥87m. Importantly, its cash burn was CN¥123m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from September 2023 it had roughly 8 months of cash runway. To be frank, this kind of short runway puts us on edge, as it indicates the company must reduce its cash burn significantly, or else raise cash imminently. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
How Well Is Blivex Energy Technology Growing?
One thing for shareholders to keep front in mind is that Blivex Energy Technology increased its cash burn by 1,325% in the last twelve months. While that's concerning on it's own, the fact that operating revenue was actually down 27% over the same period makes us positively tremulous. Considering these two factors together makes us nervous about the direction the company seems to be heading. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how Blivex Energy Technology has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.
How Easily Can Blivex Energy Technology Raise Cash?
Given its revenue and free cash flow are both moving in the wrong direction, shareholders may well be wondering how easily Blivex Energy Technology could raise cash. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
Blivex Energy Technology's cash burn of CN¥123m is about 1.9% of its CN¥6.5b market capitalisation. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.
So, Should We Worry About Blivex Energy Technology's Cash Burn?
Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Blivex Energy Technology's cash burn relative to its market cap was relatively promising. Summing up, we think the Blivex Energy Technology's cash burn is a risk, based on the factors we mentioned in this article. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Blivex Energy Technology that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
鑑於這種風險,我們想看看Blivex Energy Technology(深圳證券交易所代碼:300116)的股東是否應該擔心其現金消耗。在本報告中,我們將考慮公司的年度負自由現金流,此後將其稱爲 “現金消耗”。首先,我們將將其現金消耗與現金儲備進行比較,以計算其現金流量。
查看我們對 Blivex 能源技術的最新分析
Blivex Energy Technology 的現金流有多長?
你可以通過將公司的現金金額除以現金的支出率來計算公司的現金流量。當Blivex Energy Technology上次於2023年9月公佈其資產負債表時,其負債爲零,現金價值爲8700萬元人民幣。重要的是,在過去的十二個月中,其現金消耗爲1.23億元人民幣。因此,從2023年9月起,它有大約8個月的現金流道。坦率地說,這種短暫的跑道使我們處於緊張狀態,因爲這表明公司必須大幅減少現金消耗,否則立即籌集資金。下圖顯示了其現金餘額在過去幾年中的變化。
Blivex 能源技術的發展情況如何?
股東要記住的一件事是,Blivex Energy Technology在過去十二個月中將其現金消耗增加了1,325%。儘管這本身就令人擔憂,但同期營業收入實際上下降了27%,這一事實使我們非常不安。綜合考慮這兩個因素使我們對公司的前進方向感到緊張。當然,我們只是在這裏快速瀏覽了該股的增長指標。您可以通過查看Blivex Energy Technology的收入和收益歷史記錄的可視化來了解其業務是如何隨着時間的推移而發展的。
Blivex 能源技術如何輕鬆籌集資金?
鑑於其收入和自由現金流都朝着錯誤的方向發展,股東們很可能想知道Blivex Energy Technology籌集資金有多容易。公司可以通過債務或股權籌集資金。上市公司的主要優勢之一是,它們可以向投資者出售股票以籌集現金和爲增長提供資金。我們可以將公司的現金消耗與其市值進行比較,以了解公司必須發行多少新股才能爲一年的運營提供資金。
Blivex Energy Technology的1.23億元現金消耗約佔其65億元人民幣市值的1.9%。這意味着它可以輕鬆發行幾股股票來爲更多的增長提供資金,並且很可能有能力廉價地借款。
那麼,我們應該擔心Blivex Energy Technology的現金消耗嗎?
儘管其現金消耗的增加使我們有些緊張,但我們不得不提到,我們認爲Blivex Energy Technology的現金消耗相對於其市值相對樂觀。總而言之,根據我們在本文中提到的因素,我們認爲Blivex Energy Technology的現金消耗是一種風險。讀者在投資股票之前需要對商業風險有充分的了解,我們已經發現了Blivex Energy Technology的一個警告信號,潛在股東在向股票投入資金之前應考慮這些信號。