Investors More Bullish on Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals (SHSE:600488) This Week as Stock Rises 7.5%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years
Investors More Bullish on Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals (SHSE:600488) This Week as Stock Rises 7.5%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years
Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. To wit, the Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals share price has climbed 40% in five years, easily topping the market return of 33% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 18% in the last year , including dividends .
一般而言,積極選股的目的是尋找回報優於市場平均水平的公司。事實是,如果你以合適的價格收購優質的企業,你就能獲得可觀的收益。換句話說,天津天藥業的股價在五年內上漲了40%,輕鬆超過了33%的市場回報率(不考慮股息)。但是,最近的回報並沒有那麼令人印象深刻,該股去年包括股息在內的回報率僅爲18%。
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
在連續7天表現穩健的背景下,讓我們來看看公司的基本面在推動長期股東回報方面發揮了什麼作用。
See our latest analysis for Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals
查看我們對天津天藥製藥的最新分析
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals' earnings per share are down 0.2% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.
儘管五年來股價表現強勁,但天津天藥業的每股收益每年下降0.2%。
By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
通過瀏覽這些數字,我們可以假設每股收益的下降並不能代表業務多年來的變化。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化無關,因此值得一看其他指標。
The modest 0.2% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 8.2% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
0.2%的適度股息收益率不太可能支撐股價。相比之下,每年8.2%的收入增長可能被視爲天津天藥業正在增長的證據,這確實是一個積極的因素。在這種情況下,公司可能會犧牲當前的每股收益來推動增長。
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何隨着時間的推移而變化(點擊圖片了解確切的值)。
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
資產負債表的強度至關重要。可能值得一看我們關於其財務狀況如何隨着時間的推移而變化的免費報告。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals, it has a TSR of 44% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率以及股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息已被再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率可以更全面地描述股票產生的回報。就天津天藥藥業而言,其過去5年的股東總回報率爲44%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's good to see that Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 18% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 8%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
很高興看到天津天藥業在過去十二個月中向股東提供了18%的股東總回報率。這確實包括股息。該增幅優於五年內的年度股東總回報率,後者爲8%。因此,最近公司周圍的情緒似乎一直樂觀。持樂觀觀點的人可能會將最近股東總回報率的改善視爲業務本身隨着時間的推移而變得越來越好。我發現從長遠來看,將股價視爲業務表現的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,以永遠存在的投資風險幽靈爲例。我們已經發現天津天藥藥業有兩個警告信號(至少有一個有點不愉快),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。