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Is Ronglian Group (SZSE:002642) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Ronglian Group (SZSE:002642) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

融聯集團(深交所:002642)是否以冒險的方式使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/25 21:48

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Ronglian Group Ltd. (SZSE:002642) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李璐對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,榮聯集團有限公司(SZSE:002642)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可以成爲一個非常好的工具。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事就是綜合考慮其現金和債務。

See our latest analysis for Ronglian Group

查看我們對榮聯集團的最新分析

What Is Ronglian Group's Net Debt?

融聯集團的淨負債是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Ronglian Group had CN¥317.6m in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥424.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥106.7m.

您可以點擊下圖了解更多詳細信息,該圖表顯示,2023年9月,榮聯集團的債務爲3.176億元人民幣;與前一年大致相同。但是,它確實有4.243億元人民幣的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲1.067億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002642 Debt to Equity History November 26th 2023
深圳證券交易所:002642 債權與股權歷史記錄 2023 年 11 月 26 日

How Healthy Is Ronglian Group's Balance Sheet?

榮聯集團的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Ronglian Group had liabilities of CN¥1.35b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥20.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥424.3m as well as receivables valued at CN¥966.4m due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.

根據上次公佈的資產負債表,榮聯集團在12個月內到期的負債爲13.5億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲2,060萬元人民幣。爲了抵消這些債務,它有4.243億元人民幣的現金以及價值9.664億元人民幣的應收賬款,將在12個月內到期。因此,其總負債與其短期流動資產幾乎完全匹配。

Having regard to Ronglian Group's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥6.11b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Succinctly put, Ronglian Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Ronglian Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

考慮到融聯集團的規模,其流動資產與總負債似乎非常平衡。因此,儘管很難想象這家61.1億元人民幣的公司正在爲現金而苦苦掙扎,但我們仍然認爲值得監控其資產負債表。簡而言之,榮聯集團擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲榮聯集團需要收益來償還這筆債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。點擊此處查看交互式快照。

In the last year Ronglian Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 22%, to CN¥3.0b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

去年,榮聯集團在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了22%,至30億元人民幣。坦率地說,這並不是一個好兆頭。

So How Risky Is Ronglian Group?

那麼榮聯集團的風險有多大?

While Ronglian Group lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥184m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. With mediocre revenue growth in the last year, we're don't find the investment opportunity particularly compelling. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Ronglian Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

儘管榮聯集團在利息稅前收益(EBIT)水平上虧損,但實際上它產生了正的自由現金流人民幣1.84億元人民幣。因此,儘管虧損,但考慮到淨現金,它似乎沒有太大的短期資產負債表風險。由於去年的收入增長平平,我們認爲投資機會並不特別有吸引力。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。請注意,榮聯集團在我們的投資分析中顯示了1個警告信號,你應該知道...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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