S&P 500 On Track For 5K Milestone In 2024, RBC Says
S&P 500 On Track For 5K Milestone In 2024, RBC Says
RBC Capital Markets has projected a bullish outlook for the S&P 500, forecasting that the index will hit a record high in 2024.
加拿大皇家銀行資本市場預測標準普爾500指數前景看漲，預測該指數將在2024年創下歷史新高。
What Happened: According to the analysis published Wednesday, RBC Capital Markets estimates the benchmark index S&P 500 to close at 5,000 in 2024, marking a 10% increase from last Tuesday's closure, reported Business Insider.
發生了什麼：據《商業內幕》報道，根據週三公佈的分析，加拿大皇家銀行資本市場估計，基準指數標準普爾500指數將在2024年收於5,000點，較上週二的收盤價上漲10％。
RBC analysts penned, "While the November rally has likely pulled forward some of 2024's gains, we remain constructive on the S&P 500 in the year ahead."
加拿大皇家銀行分析師寫道：“儘管11月的漲勢可能推高了2024年的部分漲幅，但我們對來年的標準普爾500指數仍然持樂觀態度。”
This projection places RBC in line with other Wall Street optimists like Bank of America and Phil Orlando, Chief Equity Strategist at Federated Hermes, who are also predicting the index to reach the 5,000 threshold.
這一預測使加拿大皇家銀行與美國銀行和聯邦愛馬仕首席股票策略師菲爾·奧蘭多等其他華爾街樂觀主義者持平，他們也預測該指數將達到5,000的門檻。
See Also: FiscalNote (NYSE:NOTE) Q3 Results: Company Achieves Adjusted EBITDA Profitability Quicker Than Initially
另見：FiscalNote（紐約證券交易所代碼：NOTE）第三季度業績：公司實現調整後息稅折舊攤銷前利潤盈利能力的速度比最初更快
The optimism by RBC is grounded on five models encompassing sentiment, valuation and earnings, the economy, politics, and the interrelation between stocks and bonds. In their report, the analysts singled out sentiment as the ideal compass to guide the U.S. equity market in 2023.
加拿大皇家銀行的樂觀情緒基於五種模型，包括情緒、估值和收益、經濟、政治以及股票和債券之間的相互關係。分析師在報告中指出，情緒是指導2023年美國股市的理想指南。
On average, the S&P 500 experiences an approximate 7.5% rise in a presidential election year, which is less than the typical growth witnessed by the index. Therefore, the 2024 presidential election could introduce an element of uncertainty to the U.S. equity market, according to analysts.
平均而言，標準普爾500指數在總統大選年上漲約7.5％，低於該指數的典型增長。因此，分析師表示，2024年總統大選可能會給美國股市帶來不確定性。
Why It Matters: The S&P 500's performance is a broad indicator of the health of the U.S. stock market and, by extension, the U.S. economy. Therefore, predictions of the index reaching new highs suggest positive expectations for the overall condition of the U.S. economy in the coming years. However, the looming presidential elections in 2024 could introduce volatility into the market due to potential shifts in policy. As such, investors will likely keep a close eye on political developments alongside economic indicators.
爲何重要：標準普爾500指數的表現是衡量美國股市乃至美國經濟健康狀況的廣泛指標。因此，對該指數創下新高的預測表明，人們對未來幾年美國經濟的整體狀況抱有樂觀的預期。但是，由於政策的潛在變化，迫在眉睫的2024年總統大選可能會給市場帶來波動。因此，投資者可能會在經濟指標的同時密切關注政治發展。
Read Next: Nasdaq, S&P 500 Futures Diverge After Thanksgiving Holiday: Analyst Warns Next Year Will Be A 'Tale Of Two Halves'
繼續閱讀：納斯達克、標準普爾500指數期貨在感恩節假期後出現分歧：分析師警告說，明年將是 “兩半的故事”
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