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Those Who Invested in Kinder Morgan (NYSE:KMI) Three Years Ago Are up 48%

Those Who Invested in Kinder Morgan (NYSE:KMI) Three Years Ago Are up 48%

三年前投資金德摩根(紐約證券交易所代碼:KMI)的人上漲了48%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/29 07:19

By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. For example, Kinder Morgan, Inc. (NYSE:KMI) shareholders have seen the share price rise 23% over three years, well in excess of the market return (13%, not including dividends).

通過購買指數基金,投資者可以估算出平均市場回報。但是,如果你以誘人的價格收購優秀的企業,你的投資組合回報可能會超過平均市場回報。例如,金德摩根公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:KMI)股東的股價在三年內上漲了23%,遠遠超過了市場回報(13%,不包括股息)。

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 3 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

因此,讓我們評估過去3年的基本面,看看它們是否與股東回報步調一致。

Check out our latest analysis for Kinder Morgan

查看我們對金德摩根的最新分析

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是能反映潛在的業務表現。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

Kinder Morgan was able to grow its EPS at 183% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. This EPS growth is higher than the 7% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems investors have become more cautious about the company, over time.

金德摩根得以在三年內以每年183%的速度增長每股收益,這推動了股價的上漲。每股收益的增長高於股價每年平均增長7%。因此,隨着時間的推移,投資者似乎對該公司變得更加謹慎。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:KMI Earnings Per Share Growth November 29th 2023
紐約證券交易所:KMI 每股收益增長 2023 年 11 月 29 日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Kinder Morgan's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我們很高興地向大家報告,首席執行官的薪酬比資本狀況相似的公司的大多數首席執行官更適中。始終值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。我們關於金德摩根收益、收入和現金流的免費報告可能值得一看。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Kinder Morgan's TSR for the last 3 years was 48%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報(TSR)。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設股息已被再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。碰巧的是,金德摩根過去3年的股東總回報率爲48%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market gained around 15% in the last year, Kinder Morgan shareholders lost 2.3% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 7% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Kinder Morgan better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Kinder Morgan you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

儘管去年整個市場上漲了約15%,但金德摩根的股東卻下跌了2.3%(甚至包括股息)。但是,請記住,即使是最好的股票有時也會在十二個月內表現遜於市場。好的一面是,長期股東已經賺了錢,在過去的五年中,每年增長7%。如果基本面數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,那麼當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。從長遠來看,追蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解金德摩根,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。一個很好的例子:我們發現了 Kinder Morgan 的兩個警告信號,你應該注意,其中一個對我們來說不太合適。

We will like Kinder Morgan better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些大規模的內幕買入,我們會更喜歡金德摩根。在我們等待的同時,請查看這份免費名單,列出了最近有大量內幕買入的成長型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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