If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) (SZSE:002541) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group):
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.076 = CN¥1.1b ÷ (CN¥23b - CN¥7.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
So, Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) has an ROCE of 7.6%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 6.2% generated by the Metals and Mining industry, it's much better.
View our latest analysis for Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group).
What Does the ROCE Trend For Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) Tell Us?
In terms of Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has consistently earned 7.6% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 209% in that time. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
One more thing to note, even though ROCE has remained relatively flat over the last five years, the reduction in current liabilities to 34% of total assets, is good to see from a business owner's perspective. Effectively suppliers now fund less of the business, which can lower some elements of risk.
The Bottom Line
In summary, Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) has simply been reinvesting capital and generating the same low rate of return as before. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 327% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) does have some risks, we noticed 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.