Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings Limited (HKG:950) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking further back, the 11% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Even after such a large jump in price, considering around half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.4x, you may still consider Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings
How Has Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings Performed Recently?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 18% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 6.1% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 5.5% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 19% growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Lee's Pharmaceutical Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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