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Optimism for Hebei Yichen Industrial Group (HKG:1596) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Three-year Decline in Earnings

Optimism for Hebei Yichen Industrial Group (HKG:1596) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Three-year Decline in Earnings

儘管收益連續三年下降,但上週對河北翼晨實業集團(HKG: 1596)的樂觀情緒有所增加
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/30 17:25

One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. For example, Hebei Yichen Industrial Group Corporation Limited (HKG:1596) shareholders have seen the share price rise 17% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (28%, not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 13% , including dividends .

從股票市場中獲益的一種簡單方法是購買指數基金。但是,如果你以誘人的價格收購優秀的企業,你的投資組合回報率可能會超過平均市場回報。例如,河北翼晨實業集團股份有限公司(HKG: 1596)股東的股價在三年內上漲了17%,遠遠超過了市場跌幅(28%,不包括股息)。另一方面,最近的回報並不那麼好,股東僅增長了13%,包括股息。

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

在連續7天表現穩健的背景下,讓我們來看看公司的基本面在推動長期股東回報方面發揮了什麼作用。

See our latest analysis for Hebei Yichen Industrial Group

查看我們對河北翼晨實業集團的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the three years of share price growth, Hebei Yichen Industrial Group actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 39% per year.

在股價增長的三年中,河北翼晨工業集團的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年下降39%。

Thus, it seems unlikely that the market is focussed on EPS growth at the moment. Therefore, we think it's worth considering other metrics as well.

因此,目前市場似乎不太可能將注意力集中在每股收益的增長上。因此,我們認爲也值得考慮其他指標。

Languishing at just 1.2%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. Do you think that shareholders are buying for the 1.8% per annum revenue growth trend? We don't. While we don't have an obvious theory to explain the share price rise, a closer look at the data might be enlightening.

股息僅爲1.2%,我們懷疑股息是否能在支撐股價方面起到多大作用。你認爲股東們買入了年收入增長1.8%的趨勢嗎?我們沒有。儘管我們沒有明顯的理論可以解釋股價上漲,但仔細研究數據可能會有所啓發。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收入和收入隨時間推移的跟蹤情況(如果您點擊圖片,可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1596 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 30th 2023
SEHK: 1596 2023年11月30日收益及收入增長

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在這張免費的交互式圖片中看到其資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而增強(或減弱)。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Hebei Yichen Industrial Group's TSR for the last 3 years was 20%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,河北翼晨實業集團過去3年的股東總回報率爲20%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Hebei Yichen Industrial Group has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 13% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 1.9% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Hebei Yichen Industrial Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Hebei Yichen Industrial Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

很高興看到河北翼晨實業集團在過去十二個月中向股東提供了13%的總股東回報率。這包括股息。值得注意的是,五年期股東總回報率每年虧損1.9%,與最近的股價表現相比非常不利。我們通常更看重短期內的長期表現,但最近的改善可能暗示業務出現了(積極的)轉折點。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解河北翼晨實業集團,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了你應該注意的河北翼晨工業集團的兩個警告標誌,其中一個有點令人擔憂。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想與管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:業內人士一直在購買它們)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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