Should You Think About Buying Carlisle Companies Incorporated (NYSE:CSL) Now?
Should You Think About Buying Carlisle Companies Incorporated (NYSE:CSL) Now?
Carlisle Companies Incorporated (NYSE:CSL) saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company's outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let's examine Carlisle Companies's valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there's still a bargain opportunity.
在過去的幾個月中,卡萊爾公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:CSL)在紐約證券交易所的股價大幅上漲了20%以上。作爲分析師廣泛報道的大盤股,你可以假設該公司最近前景的任何變化都已經計入了該股的價格。但是,如果股票仍然很便宜怎麼辦?讓我們更詳細地研究一下卡萊爾公司的估值和前景,以確定是否還有討價還價的機會。
Check out our latest analysis for Carlisle Companies
查看我們對卡萊爾公司的最新分析
What Is Carlisle Companies Worth?
卡萊爾公司的價值是多少?
According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 20%, trading at US$291 compared to my intrinsic value of $242.43. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! Another thing to keep in mind is that Carlisle Companies's share price is quite stable relative to the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards its intrinsic value over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it's there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.
根據我的估值模型,該股目前被高估了約20%,交易價格爲291美元,而我的內在價值爲242.43美元。對於想要買入的投資者來說,這不是最好的消息!要記住的另一件事是,卡萊爾公司的股價相對於市場來說相當穩定,其低貝塔值就表明了這一點。這意味着,如果你認爲當前的股價應該會隨着時間的推移向其內在價值,那麼低的貝塔值可能表明它不太可能在短期內達到這個水平,一旦達到這個水平,可能很難再次回落到有吸引力的買入區間。
Can we expect growth from Carlisle Companies?
我們可以期待卡萊爾公司的增長嗎?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Carlisle Companies, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting earnings growth of 3.9%, which doesn't help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn't appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.
尋求投資組合增長的投資者可能需要在購買公司股票之前考慮公司的前景。儘管價值投資者會爭辯說,最重要的是相對於價格的內在價值,但更有說服力的投資論點是以低廉的價格獲得高增長潛力。儘管就卡萊爾公司而言,預計它將實現相對平淡無奇的3.9%的收益增長,這無助於確立其投資理念。增長似乎不是該公司做出買入決定的主要原因,至少在短期內是如此。
What This Means For You
這對你意味着什麼
Are you a shareholder? CSL's future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe CSL should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
你是股東嗎?CSL的未來增長似乎已計入當前股價,股票的交易價格高於其公允價值。但是,這又提出了另一個問題——現在是賣出的合適時機嗎?如果您認爲CSL的交易價格應該低於其當前價格,那麼高價賣出並在價格跌至實際價值時再次回購可以獲利。但是在你做出這個決定之前,先看看它的基本面是否發生了變化。
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on CSL for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there's no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook means it's worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
你是潛在的投資者嗎?如果你關注CSL已有一段時間了,那麼現在可能不是進入該股的最佳時機。價格已超過其真實價值,這意味着錯誤定價沒有好處。但是,樂觀的前景意味着值得更深入地研究其他因素,以利用下一次價格下跌的機會。
So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Carlisle Companies at this point in time. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Carlisle Companies, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.
因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但考慮卡萊爾公司目前面臨的風險同樣重要。在投資風險方面,我們已經向卡萊爾公司發現了一個警告信號,並認爲這應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。
If you are no longer interested in Carlisle Companies, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
如果您對Carlisle Companies不再感興趣,可以使用我們的免費平台查看我們其他50多隻具有高增長潛力的股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。