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The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Zhejiang Zomax Transmission (SHSE:603767) Shareholders as Stock Falls 12% Over the Past Week

The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Zhejiang Zomax Transmission (SHSE:603767) Shareholders as Stock Falls 12% Over the Past Week

由於過去一週股價下跌了12%,五年來收益的下降可能會給浙江中馬輸電(SHSE: 603767)的股東造成損失
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/07 23:46

While Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603767) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 27% in the last quarter. Looking further back, the stock has generated good profits over five years. Its return of 99% has certainly bested the market return!

儘管浙江中馬傳動有限公司(SHSE:603767)的股東可能普遍感到高興,但該股最近表現並不特別好,上個季度股價下跌了27%。再往前看,該股在五年內創造了豐厚的利潤。它99%的回報率無疑超過了市場回報率!

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 12%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

由於長期表現良好,但最近出現了12%的回調,讓我們來看看基本面是否與股價相符。

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Zomax Transmission

查看我們對浙江 Zomax 變速器的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

During five years of share price growth, Zhejiang Zomax Transmission actually saw its EPS drop 3.4% per year.

在股價增長的五年中,浙江中馬傳動的每股收益實際上每年下降3.4%。

So it's hard to argue that the earnings per share are the best metric to judge the company, as it may not be optimized for profits at this point. Therefore, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movements.

因此,很難說每股收益是評判公司的最佳指標,因爲目前每股收益可能還沒有針對利潤進行優化。因此,值得一看其他指標,以了解股價走勢。

In contrast revenue growth of 4.1% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Zhejiang Zomax Transmission is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

相比之下,每年4.1%的收入增長可能被視爲浙江Zomax輸電正在增長的證據,這確實是一個積極的因素。在這種情況下,公司可能會犧牲當前的每股收益來推動增長。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收入和收入隨時間推移的跟蹤情況(如果您點擊圖片,可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603767 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 8th 2023
上海證券交易所:603767 2023 年 12 月 8 日的收益和收入增長

This free interactive report on Zhejiang Zomax Transmission's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想進一步調查該股,這份關於浙江中馬傳動資產負債表實力的免費互動報告是一個不錯的起點。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Zhejiang Zomax Transmission's TSR for the last 5 years was 131%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息已被再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。碰巧的是,浙江中馬傳動在過去5年的股東總回報率爲131%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息促進了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We're pleased to report that Zhejiang Zomax Transmission shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 91% over one year. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 18%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Zhejiang Zomax Transmission (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

我們很高興地向大家報告,浙江Zomax Transmission的股東在一年內獲得了91%的股東總回報率。這確實包括股息。該增幅優於五年內的年度股東總回報率,後者爲18%。因此,最近公司周圍的情緒似乎一直樂觀。鑑於股價勢頭仍然強勁,可能值得仔細研究該股,以免錯過機會。我發現從長遠來看,將股價視爲業務表現的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,以永遠存在的投資風險幽靈爲例。我們已經發現了浙江Zomax Transmission的3個警告信號(至少有1個很重要),了解它們應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想與管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:業內人士一直在購買它們)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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