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Shareholders in Huaan Securities (SHSE:600909) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

Shareholders in Huaan Securities (SHSE:600909) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

華安證券(SHSE: 600909)的股東如果在三年前進行投資,就會陷入虧損
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/08 17:27

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Huaan Securities Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600909) shareholders, since the share price is down 39% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 13%.

作爲投資者,值得努力確保您的整體投資組合超過市場平均水平。但幾乎可以肯定的是,有時候你會買入低於市場平均回報率的股票。不幸的是,華安證券股份有限公司(SHSE:600909)的長期股東就是這種情況,因爲股價在過去三年中下跌了39%,遠低於13%左右的市場跌幅。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由於從長遠來看,股東會下跌,讓我們來看看那段時間的潛在基本面,看看它們與回報是否一致。

See our latest analysis for Huaan Securities

查看我們對華安證券的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

Huaan Securities saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 10% per year, over the last three years. The share price decline of 15% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.

在過去三年中,華安證券的每股收益以每年10%的複合率下降。15%的股價跌幅實際上比每股收益的下滑幅度更大。因此,每股收益的下降很可能令市場失望,使投資者對買入猶豫不決。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了 EPS 在一段時間內的跟蹤情況(如果你點擊圖片,你可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600909 Earnings Per Share Growth December 8th 2023
上海證券交易所:600909 每股收益增長 2023 年 12 月 8 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Huaan Securities' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪水低於類似規模公司的中位數。始終值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。查看這張華安證券收益、收入和現金流的交互式圖表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Huaan Securities the TSR over the last 3 years was -28%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設股息已被再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以說,股東總回報率可以更全面地描述股票產生的回報。我們注意到,華安證券過去3年的股東總回報率爲-28%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Huaan Securities shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 0.7% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 9.4%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 3%, each year, over five years. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Huaan Securities (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) that you should be aware of.

儘管虧損從來都不是一件好事,但華安證券的股東可以放心,包括分紅在內,他們過去十二個月的0.7%的虧損沒有9.4%左右的市場虧損那麼嚴重。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年賺3%。在最好的情況下,去年只是通往更光明未來的短暫時刻。我發現從長遠來看,將股價視爲業務表現的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已經爲華安證券確定了兩個警告信號(1 個讓我們有點不舒服),你應該注意這些信號。

We will like Huaan Securities better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些大規模的內幕買入,我們會更喜歡華安證券。在我們等待的同時,請查看這份免費名單,列出了最近有大量內幕買入的成長型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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