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Is Hua Medicine (Shanghai) (HKG:2552) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Hua Medicine (Shanghai) (HKG:2552) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

華醫藥(上海)(HKG: 2552)是否以冒險的方式使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/12 17:13

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Hua Medicine (Shanghai) Ltd. (HKG:2552) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看它對債務的使用,因爲債務超負荷可能導致破產。我們注意到,華醫藥(上海)有限公司(HKG: 2552)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多少風險?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法還清貸方,那麼債務就任其擺佈。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所有地離開。儘管這種情況不太常見,但我們經常看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以低價籌集資金。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的一個非常好的工具。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

View our latest analysis for Hua Medicine (Shanghai)

查看我們對華醫藥(上海)的最新分析

What Is Hua Medicine (Shanghai)'s Debt?

華醫藥(上海)的債務是什麼?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Hua Medicine (Shanghai) had CN¥162.7m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥881.3m in cash, leading to a CN¥718.6m net cash position.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年6月,華醫藥(上海)在一年內有1.627億元人民幣的債務,沒有增加。但另一方面,它也有8.813億元人民幣的現金,淨現金頭寸爲7.186億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2552 Debt to Equity History December 12th 2023
香港交易所:2552 債權與股權歷史記錄 2023 年 12 月 12 日

How Healthy Is Hua Medicine (Shanghai)'s Balance Sheet?

華醫藥(上海)的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hua Medicine (Shanghai) had liabilities of CN¥256.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥676.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥881.3m in cash and CN¥25.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥26.6m.

縱觀最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,華醫藥(上海)在12個月內到期的負債爲2.565億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲6.769億元人民幣。抵消這一點的是,它有8.813億元人民幣的現金和2560萬元人民幣的應收賬款,這些應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過現金和(近期)應收賬款總額2660萬元人民幣。

This state of affairs indicates that Hua Medicine (Shanghai)'s balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥2.34b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Hua Medicine (Shanghai) boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hua Medicine (Shanghai)'s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

這種狀況表明,華醫藥(上海)的資產負債表看起來相當穩健,因爲其總負債幾乎等於其流動資產。因此,這家2.34億元人民幣的公司不太可能出現現金短缺,但仍值得關注資產負債表。儘管負債可觀,但華醫藥(上海)擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益,比什麼都重要,將決定華醫藥(上海)未來保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你專注於未來,你可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

While it hasn't made a profit, at least Hua Medicine (Shanghai) booked its first revenue as a publicly listed company, in the last twelve months.

儘管沒有盈利,但至少華醫藥(上海)在過去十二個月中首次實現了上市公司的收入。

So How Risky Is Hua Medicine (Shanghai)?

那麼華醫學(上海)有多危險?

While Hua Medicine (Shanghai) lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥115m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Hua Medicine (Shanghai) that you should be aware of.

儘管華醫藥(上海)在息稅前收益(EBIT)水平上虧損,但實際上它產生了正的自由現金流CN.115億元人民幣。因此,考慮到面值,並考慮到淨現金狀況,我們認爲該股在短期內風險不大。在我們看到一些正的息稅前收益之前,我們對該股持謹慎態度,尤其是因爲收入增長相當溫和。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們已經確定了華醫藥(上海)的1個警告標誌,你應該注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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