EGL Holdings Company Limited (HKG:6882) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 29% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 29% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Hospitality industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1x, you may still consider EGL Holdings as an attractive investment with its 0.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for EGL Holdings
SEHK:6882 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 15th 2023
How EGL Holdings Has Been Performing
Recent times have been quite advantageous for EGL Holdings as its revenue has been rising very briskly. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on EGL Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as EGL Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. Still, revenue has fallen 37% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 40% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we are not surprised that EGL Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Key Takeaway
Despite EGL Holdings' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
It's no surprise that EGL Holdings maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You need to take note of risks, for example - EGL Holdings has 4 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of EGL Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
EGL Holdings Company Company Limited(HKG: 6882)股東們會很高興看到股價經歷了一個不錯的月份,漲幅爲29%,並從先前的疲軟中恢復過來。並非所有股東都會感到歡欣鼓舞,因爲股價在過去十二個月中仍然下跌了令人失望的29%。