When you see that almost half of the companies in the Insurance industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1x, Mercury General Corporation (NYSE:MCY) looks to be giving off some buy signals with its 0.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Mercury General
What Does Mercury General's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times have been advantageous for Mercury General as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Mercury General will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Mercury General would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 24% last year. As a result, it also grew revenue by 19% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 9.1% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 6.4%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Mercury General's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Mercury General's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Mercury General, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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