When close to half the companies operating in the Chemicals industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.4x, you may consider Huntsman Corporation (NYSE:HUN) as an attractive investment with its 0.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
See our latest analysis for Huntsman
What Does Huntsman's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Huntsman has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market isn't expecting future revenue performance to improve, which has kept the P/S suppressed. You'd much rather the company improve its revenue performance if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the revenue slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Huntsman.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Huntsman's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 25% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 5.8% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 0.3% over the next year. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 6.1%.
In light of this, it's understandable that Huntsman's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Huntsman's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Huntsman that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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