Sino Golf Holdings Limited (HKG:361) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 26% share price drop.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Sino Golf Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Leisure industry is similar at about 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
View our latest analysis for Sino Golf Holdings
How Has Sino Golf Holdings Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Sino Golf Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Sino Golf Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Sino Golf Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 36%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 28% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 4.7% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it interesting that Sino Golf Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
What Does Sino Golf Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
Sino Golf Holdings' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
To our surprise, Sino Golf Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Sino Golf Holdings, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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