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- 新華人壽保險股份有限公司(SHSE: 601336)的風險可能比看起來更大
New China Life Insurance Company Ltd. (SHSE:601336) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks
New China Life Insurance Company Ltd. (SHSE:601336) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks
When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 35x, you may consider New China Life Insurance Company Ltd. (SHSE:601336) as a highly attractive investment with its 11.5x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
New China Life Insurance has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for New China Life Insurance

How Is New China Life Insurance's Growth Trending?
New China Life Insurance's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 44%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 36% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 21% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 22% per year, which is not materially different.
In light of this, it's peculiar that New China Life Insurance's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that New China Life Insurance currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with New China Life Insurance.
If you're unsure about the strength of New China Life Insurance's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
當中國近一半的公司的市盈率(或 “市盈率”)超過35倍時,您可以將新華人壽保險股份有限公司(SHSE: 601336)視爲具有11.5倍市盈率的極具吸引力的投資。儘管如此,我們需要更深入地挖掘才能確定大幅降低市盈率是否有合理的基礎。
新華人壽最近一直處於困境,因爲其收益下降速度快於大多數其他公司。市盈率可能很低,因爲投資者認爲這種糟糕的收益表現根本不會改善。如果你仍然喜歡這家公司,你希望在做出任何決定之前扭轉其盈利軌跡。或者至少,如果你計劃在失寵的時候買入一些股票,你希望收益下滑不會變得更糟。
查看我們對新中國人壽保險的最新分析

新華人壽保險的增長趨勢如何?
對於一家預計增長非常糟糕甚至收益下降的公司來說,新的中國人壽的市盈率將是典型的,更重要的是,其表現要比市場差得多。
如果我們回顧一下去年的收益,令人沮喪的是,該公司的利潤下降至44%。結果,三年前的收益總體上也下降了36%。因此,不幸的是,我們必須承認,在此期間,該公司在增加收益方面做得並不出色。
談到前景,根據關注該公司的分析師的估計,未來三年將實現每年21%的增長。同時,預計其他市場每年將增長22%,這沒有實質性區別。
有鑑於此,奇怪的是,新華人壽的市盈率低於大多數其他公司。顯然,一些股東對預測持懷疑態度,並一直在接受較低的銷售價格。
關鍵要點
通常,我們傾向於將市盈率的使用限制在確定市場對公司整體健康狀況的看法上。
我們已經確定,新華人壽目前的市盈率低於預期,因爲其預測增長與整個市場一致。當我們看到具有類似市場增長的平均收益前景時,我們假設潛在風險可能會給市盈率帶來壓力。看來有些人確實在預期收益不穩定,因爲這些條件通常應該爲股價提供更多支撐。
另外,您還應該了解我們在新華人壽保險中發現的這三個警告信號。
如果你不確定新華人壽的業務實力,爲什麼不瀏覽我們爲你可能錯過的其他公司提供的具有穩健業務基礎的股票互動清單。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Moomoo Securities Australia Limited提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Moomoo Securities Australia Limited, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Moomoo Securities Australia Limited提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Moomoo Securities Australia Limited, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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