Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 45.5x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 16x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Alarm.com Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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Is There Enough Growth For Alarm.com Holdings?
Alarm.com Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 44% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 12% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 25% during the coming year according to the eight analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 10%.
In light of this, it's alarming that Alarm.com Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining earnings are likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Alarm.com Holdings' P/E
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Alarm.com Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E for a company whose earnings are forecast to decline. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings are highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Alarm.com Holdings you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. 's(納斯達克股票代碼:ALRM)市盈率(或 “市盈率”)爲45.5倍,與美國市場相比,目前看上去像是強勁的拋售。在美國,約有一半的公司的市盈率低於16倍,甚至市盈率低於9倍也很常見。但是,市盈率可能相當高是有原因的,需要進一步調查以確定其是否合理。