The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Gain Plus Holdings Limited (HKG:9900) despite the healthy numbers. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.
View our latest analysis for Gain Plus Holdings
Examining Cashflow Against Gain Plus Holdings' Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Over the twelve months to September 2023, Gain Plus Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of -0.30. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of HK$82m, well over the HK$45.8m it reported in profit. Gain Plus Holdings did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Gain Plus Holdings.
Our Take On Gain Plus Holdings' Profit Performance
Happily for shareholders, Gain Plus Holdings produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Gain Plus Holdings' statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Gain Plus Holdings as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Gain Plus Holdings and you'll want to know about this.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Gain Plus Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
儘管數據良好,但Gain Plus Holdings Limited(HKG: 9900)上週公佈的業績似乎令市場不知所措。我們進行了一些分析以找出原因,並認爲投資者可能遺漏了收益中包含的一些令人鼓舞的因素。
在截至2023年9月的十二個月中,Gain Plus Holdings的應計比率爲-0.30。這意味着它的現金轉化率非常好,而且其去年的收益實際上大大低估了其自由現金流。事實上,在過去的十二個月中,該公司報告的自由現金流爲8200萬港元,遠遠超過其公佈的4580萬港元的利潤。Gain Plus Holdings的自由現金流確實同比下降,這並不理想,就像辛普森沒有場地管理員威利的劇集一樣。
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對Gain Plus Holdings的資產負債表分析。
我們對Gain Plus Holdings利潤表現的看法
令股東高興的是,Gain Plus Holdings產生了充足的自由現金流來支持其法定利潤數字。基於這一觀察,我們認爲Gain Plus Holdings的法定利潤實際上可能低估了其盈利潛力!最重要的是,其每股收益在過去一年中以極其驚人的速度增長。當然,我們只是在分析其收益時才浮出水面;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。如果您想進一步了解Gain Plus Holdings作爲一家企業,請務必了解其面臨的任何風險。你可能會有興趣知道,我們發現了Gain Plus Holdings的1個警告信號,你會想知道的。
今天,我們放大了單個數據點,以更好地了解Gain Plus Holdings利潤的性質。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。