Kwan On Holdings Limited (HKG:1559) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 79%.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Kwan On Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Construction industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for Kwan On Holdings
What Does Kwan On Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Kwan On Holdings has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the share price, and thus the P/S ratio, from rising. Those who are bullish on Kwan On Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Kwan On Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is Kwan On Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
Kwan On Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 37% gain to the company's top line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 3.2% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Kwan On Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Kwan On Holdings appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
The fact that Kwan On Holdings currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Having said that, be aware Kwan On Holdings is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 3 of those are a bit concerning.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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Kwan On Holdings似乎再次受到青睞,股價穩步上漲,使其市盈率與業內其他公司保持一致。有人認爲,在某些行業,市售比率是衡量價值的較差,但它可能是一個有力的商業信心指標。
Kwan On Holdings目前的市盈率與該行業其他公司持平,這一事實令我們感到驚訝,因爲其最近的收入在中期內一直在下降,而該行業仍將增長。儘管它與行業相匹配,但我們對當前的市盈率感到不舒服,因爲這種慘淡的收入表現不太可能長期支撐更積極的情緒。除非最近的中期狀況明顯改善,否則投資者將很難接受股價作爲公允價值。