It's not a stretch to say that Pinnacle West Capital Corporation's (NYSE:PNW) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in the United States, where the median P/E ratio is around 17x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Pinnacle West Capital has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings trend will eventually fall in line with most others in the market. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Pinnacle West Capital
Keen to find out how analysts think Pinnacle West Capital's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Pinnacle West Capital's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 11%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 25% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 7.7% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 13% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it interesting that Pinnacle West Capital is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Pinnacle West Capital currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Having said that, be aware Pinnacle West Capital is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit concerning.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
可以說,與市盈率中位數約爲17倍的美國市場相比,Pinnacle West Capital Corporation(紐約證券交易所代碼:PNW)16.9倍的市盈率(或 “市盈率”)目前看來相當 “處於中間位置”。但是,不加解釋地忽略市盈率是不明智的,因爲投資者可能無視一個特殊的機會或一個代價高昂的錯誤。
Pinnacle West Capital的收益比最近的市場回落幅度更大,一直非常疲軟。一種可能性是市盈率適中,因爲投資者認爲該公司的收益趨勢最終將與市場上大多數其他公司的收益趨勢一致。如果你仍然喜歡這家公司,那麼在做出任何決定之前,你會希望其盈利軌跡得到扭轉。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的可行性有些緊張。
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關於市盈率,增長指標告訴我們什麼?
人們固有的假設是,公司應該與市場相提並論,像Pinnacle West Capital這樣的市盈率才被認爲是合理的。