The Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures Limited (HKG:1442) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 27% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.9x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 4x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 33%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 7.4% overall rise in EPS. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's alarming that Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures' P/E
Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures' shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures Limited(HKG: 1442)的股價在上個月表現非常糟糕,大幅下跌了25%。過去30天的下跌結束了股東艱難的一年,當時股價下跌了27%。
即使在價格大幅下跌之後,與香港市場相比,Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures的29.9倍市盈率(或 “市盈率”)仍可能使其看起來像是強勁的拋售。在香港,約有一半公司的市盈率低於9倍,甚至市盈率低於4倍也很常見。但是,市盈率可能相當高是有原因的,需要進一步調查以確定其是否合理。
有鑑於此,令人震驚的是,Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures的市盈率高於其他大多數公司。顯然,該公司的許多投資者比最近所表示的要看漲得多,他們不願意以任何價格拋售股票。如果市盈率降至更符合近期增長率的水平,現有股東很有可能爲未來的失望做好準備。
Infinity Logistics and Transt Ventures 市盈率的底線
Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures的股價可能已經回落,但其市盈率仍在高位上漲。通常,在做出投資決策時,我們謹慎行事,不要過多地解讀市盈率,儘管這可以充分揭示其他市場參與者對公司的看法。
我們對Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures的審查顯示,其三年收益趨勢對其高市盈率的影響沒有我們預期的那麼大,因爲它們看起來比當前的市場預期還要糟糕。當我們看到收益疲軟,增長速度慢於市場增長時,我們懷疑股價有下跌的風險,從而降低高市盈率。除非最近的中期狀況明顯改善,否則很難接受這些價格的合理性。
在你採取下一步行動之前,你應該了解 Infinity Logistics and Transport Ventures 的 3 個警告信號(1 個有點令人擔憂!)這是我們發現的。