Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Blackbaud (NASDAQ:BLKB)
Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Blackbaud (NASDAQ:BLKB)
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating Blackbaud (NASDAQ:BLKB), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
如果你正在尋找一款多功能裝袋機,有幾件事需要注意。在一個完美的世界中,我們希望看到一家公司向其業務投入更多資本,理想情況下,從這些資本中獲得的回報也在增加。這向我們表明,它是一臺複合機器,能夠持續將其收益再投資到業務中併產生更高的回報。但是,在調查了Blackbaud(納斯達克股票代碼:BLKB)之後,我們認爲目前的趨勢不符合多袋機的模式。
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
了解資本使用回報率 (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Blackbaud, this is the formula:
爲了澄清一下你是否不確定,ROCE是評估公司從投資於其業務的資本中獲得多少稅前收入(按百分比計算)的指標。要計算 Blackbaud 的這個指標,公式如下:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
已動用資本回報率 = 息稅前收益 (EBIT) ¥(總資產-流動負債)
0.05 = US$83m ÷ (US$2.6b - US$938m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
0.05 = 830萬美元 ÷(26億美元-9.38億美元) (基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。
So, Blackbaud has an ROCE of 5.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Software industry average of 7.7%.
因此,Blackbaud的投資回報率爲5.0%。從絕對值來看,這是一個低迴報,它的表現也低於軟件行業7.7%的平均水平。
See our latest analysis for Blackbaud
查看我們對 Blackbaud 的最新分析
In the above chart we have measured Blackbaud's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Blackbaud here for free.
在上圖中,我們將Blackbaud先前的投資回報率與之前的表現進行了比較,但可以說,未來更爲重要。如果你願意,可以在這裏免費查看報道Blackbaud的分析師的預測。
So How Is Blackbaud's ROCE Trending?
那麼 Blackbaud 的 ROCE 趨勢如何呢?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Blackbaud, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 9.3% over the last five years. However it looks like Blackbaud might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
當我們查看Blackbaud的投資回報率趨勢時,我們並沒有獲得太大的信心。更具體地說,投資回報率已從過去五年的9.3%下降。但是,看來Blackbaud可能正在進行再投資以實現長期增長,因爲儘管動用資本有所增加,但該公司的銷售額在過去12個月中沒有太大變化。公司可能需要一段時間才能開始看到這些投資的收益發生任何變化。
Our Take On Blackbaud's ROCE
我們對 Blackbaud 的 ROCE 的看法
To conclude, we've found that Blackbaud is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Since the stock has gained an impressive 46% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
總而言之,我們發現Blackbaud正在對該業務進行再投資,但回報率一直在下降。由於該股在過去五年中上漲了令人印象深刻的46%,因此投資者必須認爲會有更好的事情發生。但是,除非這些潛在趨勢變得更加樂觀,否則我們不會抱太高的希望。
One more thing: We've identified 2 warning signs with Blackbaud (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.
還有一件事:我們已經確定了Blackbaud的2個警告信號(至少有1個讓我們有點不舒服),了解這些信號肯定會很有用。
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
對於那些喜歡投資穩健公司的人,可以查看這份資產負債表穩健和股本回報率高的公司的免費清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。